RBC Canadian Open 2025

WIN:

shortened summary-analysis as Dat column too long.

He could not find his Rhythm @ Caledon on Opening Day but on Day 2 it was an eager Aberg who went 4 x Birdies on the front 9, he then went Par & Par before disaster struck on the Par 3, 11th hole.

He overshot the green by along way and the par 2 took ABERG 7 x shots to hole it All his hard work erased.

However, most young players would have been destroyed but he got moving ASAP & went birdie into the 12th a then a birdie on 18 to claim back at least 2 shots lost.

Also ABERG can still improve with him only being 26th SG: Off the Tee, for sure can improbe being 37th APG (Approach the Green) and a wayward 68th ARG (Around the Green).

These are areas he can clearly start picking up the field in SG (strokes gained) just like last week, his PUTTER till going okay & his driving okay, oddly enough he is hitting 75% of GIR (Greens in Regulation) which is very high yet not converting around on the green.

RIGHT IN FINISH 🤑:

Young fired a -1 (71) on Sunday at the Memorial Tournament to finish +4 & tied for 25th.

Young rebounded from an opening 77 by playing his final 54 holes at Muirfield Village in a collective -1 under par to backdoor his 5th x Top-25 result of the season.

He ranked 3rd among the Memorial field in SG: Off-the-Tee, 3rd in driving distance & T5 in GIR % but Young converted just 12 of 26 (46.1%) total scrambling opportunitie.

He can feature more likely in that Top 10 to 20 mix of players, if players are going low in PUTTING then Young who sits @ #

Still NO Wins on PGA this is a concern, A bit like Eric Cole but YOUNG to be fair has 7 x 2nds from only 88 events.

He also has an impressive 10 x Top 5s, 20 x Top 10s + 38 x Top 25s. His time is nearing to WIN hopefully not here just a Top 10 please- every $1 returns $7.

STRONG FINISHER 🤞:

I have been following Woodland since his strong finish of T2 @ Houston (TEXAS Childrens Open)

His best most recent finish was a -4 (66) 2 x Sundays ago @ the Charles Schwab Challenge to finish in a share of 11th place after firing in 72, 67, 69 & 66. It was another slow start that really is his achilles heel in 2025.

At the Charles Schwab he led by his play on the greens where he ranked 2nd for the tournament in SG: Putting. This was Woodlands best putting season since 2020 thus far has led to 5 x Top 25s, currently sits in 80th SG: T2G (Tee to Green) + his DRIVING accuracy is only @ 57% (348 fairways hit of 608) his placement is better in GIR @ 65.78%.

Closer to 70% is more ideal in GIR however Woddland has improved these stats in 2025.

***It is his usual slow starts that cost him but if he can hang with the field early then Moving Day (day 3) & 4 could see him charge up the leaderboard.

$1 on Betfair for evey $95 plus to cover the play then a Top 20 is essential @ $4.50, the only play resulted is the WIN.

CONSISTENT 👍:

Another who I have been following.

This Frenchman is best with his Irons & the putter with Top 20 in 67 PGA starts for 30 finishes (44.7%).

Although at another course he did finish 3rd in the 2024 Canadian Open w on by MACINTYRE and there he actually imporved into each day with a 70, 68, 64 & 64.

I would go on the record and say he is playing better in 2025, he can rely on his DRIVING ACCURACY where he sits in 22nd overall + 29th in GIR @ 68.06%,

Can he WIN? probabbly not but he can feature up the top of the leaderboard as ACCURACY will be rewarded around this tricky course. Simple Play $1 for every $5.50 we only need him to Top 20 50% of this whole events outlay.

MY BEST BET 🏆:

My first Pref & if I was forced to PLAY only 2 players all weekend.

It would be without hesitation all markets on SUNGJAE IM & NICK TAYLOR.

For complete transparency I have also backed SUNGJAE IM in next weeks US Open @ $240.

Last week Im saved his best round of the week for Day 4 on Sunday in which he made 6 x birdies at the difficult Muirfield Village, although 5 x bogeys prevented him from going lower.

He did struggle with his iron play but he made up for it by leading the field for the tournament in SG: Around the green (ARG), this is not his issue a is 6th in Overall and he sits very high overall in most sig SG stats including a high 17th in SG: Off the Tee but it is his SG:Approac the Green that suffers with an incredible ranking @ 173rd.

If he improves this lookout.

He is a stats beast in PGA with 48 x Top 10s (24.3 %) from 197 events + 99 x Top 25s = 50.25%

CRAZY good.

Currently sitting high @ 22nd OWGR + 18th in FEDex I will cover my own play with a Top 5 @ $6.60 + Top 10 @ $3.85. All via Betfair, only resulted is the WIN @ $44.

THE 👊:

This Aussie surprised a few when he won @ PUERTO RICO open with a strong -26.

He was able to maintain mid 60s on each day (65, 67, 66 & 64).

In his latest event @ the Charles Schwab Challenge to finish in a share of 11th place he again demonstrated consistency across 4 days, many cannot.

Vilips had a back & forth final round with 4 x birdies and 4 x bogeys to narrowly miss out on a Top 10 finish. The Aussie managed to avoid an over-par round at the difficult setup while gaining shots in every strokes gained category where Vilips ranked in the Top 10 in birdies & Top 10 in (feet of putts) made for the tournament.

At his best when he plays aggressively, his best stat is GIR (greens in Regulation) @ 42nd with 67.19% Hit, again the closer to 70% the better.

For a rookie he has already shone brightly IMO in the 11 PGA events thus far he has 1 x 1st, 2 x Top 10s + 3 x Top 20s & has made 7 of 11 CUTS, For every $1 on Betfair he is the blowout @ $230.

The Safe & lower risk play is Top 20 @ $7.60 on Betfair or $4.50 including TIES.

WHAT THIS WEEK 🎁:

I did tip DAHMEN in 2025 at cricket score odds and he would start well then FADE late.

He is a frustrating player and oddly enough unlike 50% of the line up here he has 1 x 1st (back in 2021) + 3 x Top 10s in 2025.

Of interest he TEES off with others that can shoot low but also fade like PATRICK RODGERS &
CARSON YOUNG, they could sit up the top after Day 1, there are several that starts quick but fade.

I LEFT him alone @ PUNTACANA where he went close with a T2 which as many of you know he backed him through TECAS events earlier where he fizzled but like many of our players they have a HABIT of bobing up only weeks later.

HIS BEST 19th is ATG (Approach the Green) he is a terrible putter most ts ( well look all players can rally around the greens) but he is an extrodinary high 45th in SG T2G (Tee to Green).

He never Surprises me when he appears on leaderboards, he however does annoy me when I back him he fails to only bonb up weeks later, hard to catch.

HIGH PROBABILITY 👌:

Saint Nick is you ask him he will tell anyone he is at his Best when he is chasing, he loves a dog fight so he has given us scary moments as his WINS have come via PLAYOFFS.

Last week Taylor took a share of the lead into the weekend after starting 69, 68 but struggled on Day 3 with a 73.

Most of the weekend was the same barring our player SEPP STRAKA, he actually played a -8 on the last 2 days to outscore SCHEFFLER, the course challenged everyone.

Taylor actually made an unusually critical error at the Par 4, 14th that led to a double bogey.

Saint Nick however did have good overall SG stats such as he was 4th in SG:Total with 9.48 strokes & 4th ARG & 5th in PUTTING, even his driving was good where OFF THE TEE he sat in
34th after 4 days.

I had him peaking more at US Open, so I was wrong he peaked early.

Another CANADIAN who would have played here many times over even after the course renovation, he is slick around the GREENS so if he is on song I expect him to be lurking around the Top 10 on all 4 days.

for every $1 on betfair for a possible return of $12 becuase if he cannot win he goes mighty close.

FLYING UNDER RADAR 🚀:

Noren fired a -1 on the Par 71 on Sunday at the Memorial Tournament to finish +7 over and tied for 39th.

His final round at Muirfield Village was highlighted by a streak of 3 x birdies on holes 14, 15, 16 & he ultimately ranked T6 among the field in putts per GIR on Sunday.

NOREN has now placed T51, T17 & T39 in his last 3 events outings sine returning from neck & leg injuries so his fitness should be peaking for this.

81 of 166 events in Top 25s (48.7%) in all PGA starts + 32 of 166 in Top 10s.

As many of our members know I have tipped him a few time over the last 9 months, he is focusing now on PGA where he may still be 0 wins but has won 11 International events.
For evey $1 on Betfair a possible return of $85, Noren is also $3.60 to Top 20 on Betfair + on Sportsbet @ $2.80 including Ties.