John Deere Classic 2025

✈️ UNDER RADAR:

JB has had a very BIG 2025, he is trending the best in all of his a career to date & it all started @ The Cognizant Classic in February.

That event he was a T2 with strong days of 68, 68, 67, 64, I make NOTE of rounds in Mid 60s as most non winning players average 69 so you want your player consistently carding mid 60s especially on courses where scoring is low over the full 4 days.

BRIDGEMAN tried his best carding a -7, 64, which was same as 1st time winner JOE HIGHSMITH, he just had a better day 3 & 4 shooting 64 both days.

His graph is charting so well it is hard not to notice him.

Strong finishes away from Majors ( not there yet) with a T10 @ ZURICH (mixed) & T4 @ TRUIST (most of the high ranked OWGR were present) & he was solid without dazzling last week @ ROCKET with a final score of -15.

Last week he went -8 on Day 2 but he did get stuck on the 4th hole with a Bogey so a -7 but if we looker very close to his performance he was Top 20 in SG: ARG + SG: PUTTING.

He is another that can easily improve as his normal stats are higher over longer, 6th in SG: PUTTING in all of PGA so as you can see I am leveraging on birdy makers.

There are players I have gone with here that I EXPECT can improve even from last weeks good efforts, I have backed JB for Win @ $90 along with Top 10 @ $8.20. Both Top 20 & 10 make us money.

WIN Would NOT surprise me.

HORSES 4 COURSES 👍:

PGA The CJ Cup Byron Nelson
TPC CRAIG RANCH
McKinney, Texas, USA
May 1st to 4th
Tee Off @ 21:50pm ( check times)

This is his event to shine, his last few results here have seen him on average pisk up SG +0.92 each round of gold he has played.

His last 4 here have him finishing @ 17th, 12th, 43rd & CUT but KUCHAR has amassed in his PGA career a staggering x 118 x Top 10s from 569 events (21%).

In those 569 events he has Won 9 x PGA + 15 x 2nds, there is lots more but to highlight why I think he is a lock this week-

17th in SG-Putting
28th in SG-Around the Green

54th in SG Total.

Thats impressive for this 46 yr old who still has much to offer, in his 7 events in 2025 he has finished in Top 50 in 6, with a high finish of T18 @ VALERO TEXAS but he has been super consistent in 2025.

@ 20:14 you can on Betfair get $7.60 for KUCHAR to Top 20, he is only $8.80 to Top 10 this is value to Top 20.

As is the usual I always back all my Players to Win, Top 10 & 20, this time I will go all in for Top 20 and miss Top 10 it make sense.

BACK ON HIM

We backed Glover a couple of weeks ago in the Travelers which went well for us. Same thing applies this week. High driving accuracy, 6x PGA winner and has had 9 x Top 25s including 4 x Top 10s in 2025.

STILL VALUE 🤑:

PGA John Deere Classic
TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois, USA
Thursday 3rd July to 6th July
Tee Off @ 9:45pm (check times)

JAKE had been high up on players to follow and this is why you should read pre summary as when the TOP OWGR plays go over the pond players like KNAPP appear in the Top of leaderboards.

Not much to summarise really, he broke the course record on Day 2 with a 61 and it was only his day 1 of 72 that prevented him winning last week in a landslide.

He is also a stat king in that he has now played 150 PGA events for 29 x Top 10s (near 20%) & he sits in 19 in SG: Putting and not the biggest striker of the ball OTT he did prove he is playing far better than regular stats. He was 2nd Last week in OTT & 2nd in Longest Drive along with 3rd for Driving Accuracy.

He is still trending better than his stats suggest, He was good in CANADA with 63, 69, 66 his final day was only a 72 but as previously written by me he will shine in the coming weeks.

I think he backs up better than young 20yr old POTGEITER as it is true the hangover affect will linger now he has won on Tour.

My 2 biggest WIN bets are on KNAPP & NICO, $1 on betfair returns $46 & for Top 10 he is @ $5.70 & Top 20 @ $3.25. I outlay $3 in total so my low risk play is at worse KNAPP can Top 20 and he covers the play.

CAN FEATURE 🚀:

For those that do not know EC has to manage Type 1 Diabetes so at times he has withdrawn from events.

There are many stories out there on how he manages it but the former PGA ROOKIE of the Year
is playing some decent golf in the background without attracting too much attention.

He had to withdraw @ Travelers on Day 4, he was going SUPER with 68, 67, 69 and looked likely to be in the Top 10 at least.

He had been playing very very well prior.

Although a NON WINNER on PGA he did lose a playoff to CHRIS KIRK (Honda Classic in 2023) who lost in a playoff last week but KIRK is a 6 x PGA Winner on Tour anyway but most would know his bread & butter is PUTTING.

We get value here as he is playing better than what his stats read.

He should be well rested & on top of managing his Illness, he fits the criteria like CAM YOUNG, DENNY MC CARTHY and co who are non winners but genuine Top 5O players in PGA.

This is an event one of those NON PGA winners can get up. I am on to Win @ $130 & Top 10 @ $10 so my $3 could be easily covered with just a Top 20 result, the better result the more Profit.

Event: 2025-07-05 - ⛳ PGA John Deere Classic
Selection: Seamus Power Win
Comment (Short): Old Favourite ↗️
Comment (Long):
PGA John Deere Classic
TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois, USA
Thursday 5th July to 6th July
Tee Off @ 11pm (check times)

Please see below for more detailed stats-for every $1 on betfair POWER will possibly return us $48.
Win Odds: WIN x1.00
Resulted:
Won:
Legs Won (for multi):
Profit/Loss: 0.00
Save Result Event: 2025-07-05 - ⛳ PGA John Deere Classic
Selection: Seamus Power Win
Comment (Short): Old Favourite ↗️
Comment (Long):
PGA John Deere Classic
TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois, USA
Thursday 5th July to 6th July
Tee Off @ 11pm (check times)

With forecast Rain & Wind most likely going to cause havoc with the majority of players, it never hurts to have an English or Scot or Irish player in your final picks.

The WIND could be very volatile so strap yourself in there is nothing than watching the leader-board change dramatically, you can only hope 1 of your players is the one zooming up the leader-board.

Before TEE off SEAMUS POWER was in my Top 50 which I start with for every event then start the brutal cut to get down to a handful, members would have seen him in previous Analysis but I left him alone with so so results such as T34 @ Myrtle Beach Classic along with a T59 @ Charles Schwab.

Included in his So so form was CUTS @ PGA & Rocket Classic, so why pick POWER?

He does perform well here on this course having been around the money in 3 of his last 3 starts ( over 4 years he had a DNP (did not play) so a T8 in 2021, T13 in 2023 & in 2024 a solo 17th.

When he finished T8 @ VALSPAR in Late March he did finish a strong 66 (-5) the avg was only -2 on the final day. My feeling is with him hitting GREENS so well here and he should cope with the weather he can get back on the Podium.

He is close enough with 2 x consistent days of 67 (-4), ( 66 (-5) here and there is still a big score in him and a few others so as advised hang on it will be a doozy finish.

Please see below for more detailed stats-for every $1 on betfair POWER will possibly return us $48.
Win Odds: WIN x1.00
Resulted:
Won:
Legs Won (for multi):
Profit/Loss: 0.00
Save Result

MY ROUGHIE 🙏:

RYDER often can play 2 good rounds.

RYDER has yet to win on PGA Tour but he does have 2 x 1sts, 1 of those was on the KFT (Korn Ferry) & PGA Canada, both tours will see the bulk of players other than the OWGR stars anyway as they play for entry into the better PGA events.

RYDER has been around since 2012 and he does have fair stats in PGA with 34 x Top 10s &
38 x Top 25s and he only scraped into the Top 125 with a T5 @ Bermuda in November 2024 (Full playing status for 2025).

I have been following him and he is playing well in 2025 making 12 CUTS from 16 events.

He is slowly improving significant stats, currently in 3rd in SG: PUTTING, a head of very well known players mind you.

If he can start well I feel he can play better as he has been appearing here & there of late.

In simple terms it was either RYDER or OLESEN to make their way to my selections, the latter plays very well early, he does struggle on final days, hence why I like RYDER more.

He is much more strongly favoured to Top 20 @ $6.50 + Top 10 @ $13 this event has a habit of throwing up 1st time PGA winners (9 from last 15 from memory in recent times).

🔥 HOT FORM:

DAY is on a total tear of late.

His last event he was 9th in SG: PUTTING, 4th in SG: ARG (Around the Green) and honestly he was SUPER CHILL & IN CONTROL

I am always wary of his Neck & back Pain but in 2025 he has now made it through 11 CUTS of 12 events with his only CUT@ US PGA Championships.

He has gone on since & T23 @ US Open & a T4 @ Travelers and I watched him all weekend, he looked like his old self.

If you have grown up with Golf like me DAY used to be one of the very best on Approach and his PUTTER LETHAL, His IRON play is beautiful to watch.

Every time we have gone SCHEFFLER or GRIFFIN @ shorter odds than $20 it has never paid, I like DAY here but @ $25s very short so I launched most of my investment into Top 5 @ $6.60 $168 + $50 so $218) on him + $100 @ $4.40 to Top 10, I will not bother with Top 20 as they way he is playing he should be in the finish.

Hopefully he does not win outright!

BEST CHANCE 💪:

My M8 NICO, I thought he was going to get it done last week @ bumper odds of $190.

He owes us nothing from previous seasons but he did go 66, 67, 69 & 66 last week.

That final day 66 was 7 x Birdies (1 x Bogey on the 11th Hole) & without flooding you with Stats (you will have weeks emails) he was rock solid consistent on SG: Approach to Greens in 9th & his Putter which is usually reliable 15th.

I think he can still improve this week as he sits in 5th in SG: Putting on Tour and this is usually his weapon of choice, Last week too he only had 3 x Bogeys from 72 holes (T1)

If he can keep his rounds BOGEY free and around a course you know his PUTTER will be strong, he looks very dangerous.

I like the stat he avoided more Bogeys than anyone last week, he will play on confidence and where a few from last week were EXTREMELY good on skills they are not normally, the consistent stronger known Putters can run a much this weekend.

my pick this week, Every $1 on betfair is a possible $65 return & Top 10 @ $7.80 + Top 20 @ $3.80, Only has to perform on Par with last week as we cop a big discount on price from last week.

OVERDUE 🍀:

Most who have been with me for years will know I rarely pick SMALLEY but timing is everything & in 2023 he led here and was pipped by SEPP STRAKA.

He is in better form in 2025 having made 11 CUTS from 18 events (there are many better) but from those 11 he has had 8 x Top 25s, 2 of those being Top 10s.

A few positive factors is he is well rounded in most skill sets required sitting a high 9th in SG: Total, also 9th in TTG (Tee to Green) & 19th in OTT (Off the Tee).

Positioning will be all important here & his Approach Play very good as well with his GIR @ 68.75 (Greens in Regulation), my target is as close to 70% or better.

He rounds his game off being very good around Greens & although 49th in PUTTING on Tour he is #20 in SCRAMBLING so with the BIG greens as Targets he surprisingly is #1 in PUTTING from 15 to 20 feet On the final day of play He carded a -7 @ AMEX & @ Mexico.

His Best finishes in 2025 have come @ The American Express (21 x Birdies & 42 Pars) & Mexico Open (21 x Birdies & 45 Pars) they are 2 of the easiest scoring events of the season, he combined for 42 x Birdies.

With his 2nd in 2023 & the fact he is playing better golf in 2025 he can challenge, He is my least preferred player compared to NICO & KNAPP who are backing up in excellent form from last week.

$1 on Betfair returns $60 + Top 10 @ $6.60 + Top 20 @ $3.70.