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Barracuda Championship 2025

Course

Tahoe Mountain Club (Old Greenwood)

Location

Truckee, CA

Date

17 July 2025 5:00 pm AEST

2025-07-17

America/Los_Angeles

Event Analysis

The Course

Location: Tahoe Mountain Club’s Old Greenwood, Truckee, California.
Par: 71.
Yardage: 7,480 yards.
Elevation: Nearly 6,000 feet above sea level, causing shots to travel further.
Designer: Jack Nicklaus.
Fairway: Bentgrass/Ryegrass/Poa annua.
Rough: Kentucky Bluegrass/Perennial Ryegrass.
Greens: Bentgrass/Poa annua.
Unique Feature: The course layout was adjusted in 2024 to include two par 5s and a drivable par 4 on the back nine to enhance the Modified Stableford format. 

2024 Winner Nick Dunlap is back to defend his title & this event is the only that uses the MODIFIED STABLEFORD format which  best described as-

*The Stableford format encourages aggressive play, awarding the following points for hole scores:

Double Eagle = 8 pts
Eagle= 5
Birdie = 2
Par = 0
Bogey = -1
Double Bogey or worse = -3

Staking Strategy: 7 x Players & most importantly our recommendation is backing all Players with $1 each in 3 markets so that means a total of $3 for each player = to your usual staking.

So as an example, you would normally have $10 per Player as for your $1 on every market then $30 is invested in total in 3 markets for a return, Outright Win, Top 10 & Top 20.

For the total outlay of 1 event = 7 players x $30 = $210 to cover all 7 of your players in all 3 markets for 4 days of crazy fun and hopefully profit.

If you need to reduce down to $5 to cover all 21 x Plays then please do so, it’s important to cover all plays including Top 10 & Top 20, We take the approach of covering the outlay so think LESS RISK

Last week we had pays of $15.80 (with only Nicolai) in the Top 10 with a few on the cusp that choked late but over in Kentucky we fared better with a few more in the Results with $69 so if you are a $10 player then your return for the weekend as still profitable with $848 in the bag less your $450.

STAKING: At PGT, we apply a strict and consistent staking strategy to every tip we publish. All published results on our site are calculated on the basis of one (1) unit per tip, unless otherwise stated. The actual dollar value of a unit (if any) is determined by each individual — it may be for a no-value bet with a friend, or $5 or $50. This methodology is for record-keeping and educational purposes only and is not a recommendation to bet or to bet in any particular way.
Competitor Tip Type Odds Units Result Rationale
Austin Eckroat Win 50-1 1.00 LOSS

TRENDING SCORES — FAST STARTS:

Capable of low openers and holding position in weaker fields. Volatile but upside fits this event.

  • Travelers: 62 then three 71s (?8 opener against elite field).
  • John Deere: 63?71?67?68 for T11 (?15).
  • Last three events improving: ?5, ?9, ?15. Skipped ISCO, arrives fresh.

Market: Win ~$50; Top?10 ~$4.30; Top?20 ~$3.60.

Top 10 4.3-1 1.00 LOSS
Top 20 3.6-1 1.00 LOSS
Erik Van Rooyen Win 55-1 1.00 LOSS

BIRDIE RATE — PRIOR WINNER HERE:

Stableford-friendly profile when hot. Prior champ and still posts low rounds despite mixed recent results.

  • Barracuda: Won 2021; 6th on next start.
  • Birdie or Better rank ~22nd on PGA this season.
  • Recent flashes: 64/65 at Charles Schwab; 2nd at CJ Cup Byron Nelson.

Market: Win ~$55; Top?10 ~$6.40; Top?20 ~$3.60.

Top 10 6.4-1 1.00 WIN
Top 20 3.6-1 1.00 WIN
Jacques Kruyswijk Win 150-1 1.00 LOSS

DPWT SCORER — CEILING IN SOFTER FIELD:

Scores in bunches when approach clicks. Several SG categories above DPWT average.

  • GIR ~68.7% (~29th DPWT) vs field avg ~66%.
  • Recent: T19 BMW International; consistent ?11 to ?18 totals across last 14 starts.
  • Winner: Kenya Open (?18).

Market: Win ~$150; Top?10 ~$8.40; Top?20 ~$5.20.

Top 10 8.4-1 1.00 WIN
Top 20 5.2-1 1.00 WIN
Lee Hodges Win 46-1 1.00 LOSS

AGGRESSIVE IRONS — STABLEFORD UPSIDE:

PGA Tour winner with recent signs of health and form. Profile suits a scoring format that rewards birdies more than it punishes bogeys.

  • 2025: 16 starts, 10 cuts, 3× Top?10, 2× Top?25.
  • Ranks: 13th SG: APP; 33rd Tee?to?Green; ~71% GIR (~11th).
  • Recent: T9 Canada (67?67?63?69), T34 Rocket Classic, T21 John Deere; MC in Scotland.
  • 13 of last 16 rounds under 70; eight rounds ? 68.

Market: Win ~$46; Top?5 ~$9; Top?10 ~$5.

Top 10 9-1 1.00 LOSS
Top 20 5-1 1.00 LOSS
Rafa Cabrera Bello Win 380-1 1.00 LOSS

VETERAN GRINDER — PRICE?DRIVEN FLIER:

Out of sorts last week but profiles better in this field. Long record of competing in elite events.

  • Career: wins across tours; major and WGC podiums.
  • Last week: MC with low fairway % but decent GIR; reset could help.

Market: Win ~$380; Top?10 ~$22; Top?20 ~$6.

Top 10 22-1 1.00 LOSS
Top 20 6-1 1.00 LOSS
Ryo Hisatsune Win 55-1 1.00 LOSS

EFFICIENCY — SCRAMBLING + AVOIDING MISTAKES:

Multiple international wins. Suits birdie-friendly setups with tidy short game and iron control.

  • DP win: Open de France from eight back on Sunday.
  • Recent PGA: T10 Mexico, T4 Valspar, T5 Valero, T6 Charles Schwab.
  • GIR solid; Scrambling strong; elite bogey avoidance.

Market: Win ~$55; Top?10 ~$5.70; Top?20 ~$3.20.

Top 10 5.7-1 1.00 LOSS
Top 20 3.2-1 1.00 LOSS
Sean Crocker Win 95-1 1.00 LOSS

EURO FORM — U.S. RETURN:

Form ties around in?form DPWT players. Capable of fast starts and low Sundays.

  • Runner?up at Hainan Classic (?14) behind Marco Penge.
  • Recent Europe: strong showings against stronger fields; momentum positive.

Market: Win ~$95; Top?10 ~$8; Top?20 ~$5.20.

Top 10 8-1 1.00 LOSS
Top 20 5.2-1 1.00 LOSS
#Tips Wins Strike Rate Units Net Profit ROI
21 4 19.05% 21.00 2.60 12.38%