FedEx St. Jude Championship 2025

WELL ROUNDED GAME 💪:

This Candian has long promised to fulfill his potential and although he is yet to win a Major in 2025 he has started in 18 events and has made the CUT in 17, I like getting as many players we can into Day 3.

In those 18 starts he has 6 x Top 10s (33.33% SR) along with 11 x Top 25s (61% SR) but he DID NOT get a big WRAP when he bombed Day 1 of the OPEN Championships with a 74, Day 1 was his Intro with 4 x Bogeys.

To his credit he adjusted more quicker than most and went to work with 69, 66 & 66 so his final 2 days both were very good @ -5 Under Par, Day 4 he actually went on a burn with Birdies on 10, 11, 12, 14 & 15th holes (5 birdies in the last 9 holes) I am sure he left shaking his head what could have been?

Fast forward & he is well rested missing the last 3 US events.

His overall game is very well rounded in all metrics & sits in the Top 20 in SG: Total, SG: OTT, Driving Accuracy ( a high 67%) & unlike many in the Top 50 he actually has a good game On Approach to the Greens with 70% GIR (Greens in Regulation).

He is adept with the PUTTER sitting inside the Top 50 of all players on PGA Tour @ 44th, to clarify well rounded he actually is POSITIVE in all signifcant stats, usually you will see 2 & ostly 3 but 4 is for Top 15 players.

Win @ $50

Top 10 @ $4.30 (again way unders as only $49k in Pool) should be $5.50 to $6 min

Top 20 @ $2.34 (SFA in Pool)

RESPECT:

English will Tee of in Group 14 & why I mention the Groups every now & then is I honeslty believe it can drive the players, thise who are paired with a stronger skilled player can imporve as I watch alot of golf and taking into account the Line the player just took is GOLDEN.

His companion on day 1 is BEN GRIFFIN, now he honestly said to media ( I have the interview) that he reckons he is a sgood as Scott Scheffler, it was not said Tongue in cheek either.

**English we were on @ the Travelers as I sent him out as the LATE MAIL @ $100-

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Some of What I wrote-

" If there is a mover it could be ENGLISH a 5 x PGA Winner + he was very good recently @ Quail Hollow (a very tough course) and was one of the best on Day 4 with his -6 (65) to end up T2.

***He has already Won in 2025 (Farmers) & after 2 days (36 holes) is ranked-

SG: OTT = 28th

SG: APP = 43rd ( this is his weakest stat this weekend)

SG: ARG = 13th

SG: PUT = 6th

Now ovee these days he has picked up 4.53 strokes on the field and he has hit 25 of 26 GREENS giving him an okay 69.44% GIR (Greens in Regulation).

***On GIR Cameron Young after day 1 was a high flying 88.9% (16 of 18 Greens), incredible BUT he is currently@ -4, he needs to get moving.

Both his driving length & Accuracy has been very ordinary so if he can improve what he is hitting off the Tee and improve his Approach game to the Greens we can see him quickly accelerate up the leaderboard.

One of his better stats is actually only 3 x BOGEYS over 36 holes, if he can maintain this he should have a good Day 3 (I really hope so).

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Now ENGLISH did not win but the Late Mail was sent before Day 3 had Teed off and the recommendation was Top 5 @ $7.20 ( I actually sent it out as an OFFICIAL TOP 5 as well) and I declared if you want safe then Top 10 @ $2.84 looked really good.

English finished 4th and was only 2 shots off BRADLEY but English had the strongest final day round of -5, both he & HENLEY really should have been in a Playoff (lol).

So the extra $3 ( whatever your stake normally =) lets say $10 you would have spent $30 and recieved back $100.40, Highlighting 2 things, oh so bloody close yet again but why you should back what we tip in other markets.

Since the Travelers, English has finished a T22 over the Pond & then 2nd in Northern Ireland, his Ball striking is in the Top 30 but he supports that with a better PUTTING game than most, he ranks 21st in SG: PUTTINH on the PGA, he brings good form into this off a frshen up.

Win @ $50

Top 10 @ $4.80 ( again way unders as only $49k in Pool)

Top 20 @ $2.48 (SFA in Pool)

UNDER RATED 🤑:

The Winner of this event in 2023 on the back of a game 3rd in 2022, he did NOT play in 2024 & I would dare say he is laying better golf now than when he won this in 2023.

He will Tee off in Group 26 with VICTOR HOVLAND (who I looked at 10 x for this, however his hot & cold results swayed me away from him & I will wait until he puts results more consistently together.

If you have been with me for a while you would know I have tipped GLOVER a few times and in the latest (JOHN DEERE CLASSIC) he surged late with a -7 on Day 4 to finish T5 with an overall -16, the winner was -18 but what does jump out at you is his poor 74 on Day 1 compared to his 64 on Day 4.

Very hard to stomach as he was 1 of my extra plays @ $46 but after day 1 you could get matched for +$500, 8 strokes differential you are very entitled to shake your head.

I will lean on him being in Positive SG: Total (Strokes Gained) in 6 of his last 8 events, he has been better than his stats would reveal, GLOVER in his latest start @ last weeks WYNDHAM despite being CUT after Day 2 still was hitting 70% of GIR (Greens in Regulation).

He also was an overall 1.74 Strokes Gained Off the Tee (OTT) he lost strokes with his PUTTER & also APG, so his Approach game was off.

BUT

If we look at the software we use which really isolates stats we see in APG (Approach the Green) he has beein in Positive territory in 12 of 15 with 4 of his most recent & before the CUT last week he picked up strokes @ +0.90, +1.30, +1.73 & +1.18.

He actually belies his effort @ Wyndham as previously this has been a reliable factor of his play.

A young head on an old body, I think GLOVER can get back to the form we saw him go T5, T9,

T8, T3 & T3 from 18 events, do not read too much into that as he did also have finishes in 7 others still making through to Day 4.

I consider GLOVER owes us & we get good odds to go for the ride considering he sits in the Top 30 in so many significant stats, it is his PUTTER that lets him down but like most he can have a good run with the FLAT STICK.

Win @ $100

Top 10 @ $7.40 ( again way unders as only $49k in Pool) Should be Minimum $10 to $11

Top 20 @ $3.20 (SFA in Pool)

THE ROUGHIE 🙏:

I would class RODGERS as a fringe player only due to mostly his finishing resultes in that he has

in the last 3 years had the most Top 25s in his career.

In 2023 he had 9, in 2024 x 13 & so far in 2025 x 7 but if we go deeper he has 45 x Top 40 results in those 3 years.

For a NON winner on the PGA Tour he has won close to $18 Million since joining on 2015, he did afterall make the Top 70 in FedEx points for this and gets his chance to advance to the BMW Championships with a decent finish here.

He did win on the KFT (Korn Ferry) back in 2015 before getting his card to play, he has remianed their since, which us a credit to him & to be fair he went close in 2024 in the BARRACUDA (2nd) & he has ahost of 2nd & 3rds through 2016 to 2018. So he has gone very close.

WHAT sparked my interest was last week.

Rodgers had +6.44 SG (Strokes Gained), I actually went to the trouble of putting a POST IT on the laptop to remind me DO NOT MISS Rdogers. There were other notables but yes IMO he most likely does not win this but his price of $14 for Top 20 is attractive, there should be NO pressure, he has got this far so he should just go for it & see what comes of it.

I will alwasy throw an outsider in & many ask "WHY WOULD YOU BACK HIM TO WIN" if he is as I say a Fringe player? Ive had winners between $300 to $600 & they were exctly that, a fringe player, a golfer is entitled to his very best weekend at least once in his career.

Of course you can spend all $3 on a Top 25 but you would cry if he did find a way to win at these odds. costs you little to find out.

Win @ $310

Top 10 @ $14.50 (I was matched @ $25) $14.50 is incredibly way too low but only $49k in Pool

Top 20 @ $5.50 (SFA in Pool)

TRENDING ⬆️:

PGA FedEx St Jude Championships

TPC Southwind

Memphis, Tennessee, USA

August 7th to 10th

Tee Off @ 10:20pm (Please check times)

I have to back up on HENLEY as we tipped him most recently @ The Travelers and his 61 on Day 3 told us 1 thing, HE WAS NOT GETTING ANYWHERE near that again.

His Day 4, 69 & I watched that whole event LIVE was one of the most annoying rounds as he ended up missing by 1 shot to WIN overall and that was 29 x 2nds in the last 4 years.

CHRIST our ROI is good now can you imagine what even 50% of those 2nds translates to WINS & Profit, something very unheard of ?

If you did watch LIVE like me his BIRDIE on the 18th was one of the shots of the event.

HENLEY has been rock solid and thats what he delivers, not going to bomb you with stats but 5 of his last 7 events has seen him T8, T5, T10, T2 & T10.

Consider this if you backed HENLEY, ONLY in Top 10 (57 x Top 10s from 305 events) + Top 25

(111 x Top 25s for a nice 37% SR) you would be very well in Profit.

Win @ $34

Top 10 @ $3.40

Top 20 @ $2.02 (SFA in Pool)

PERFECT FIT 👌:

One of the better Ball strikers on Tour anywhere TPC Southwind should bring out those qualities and then some from this Austrian who is searching for his 5th PGA Tour Win.

Of INTEREST is he will TEE off on Day 1 with Scott Scheffler in Group 32 which can only be seen as a POSITIVE & STRAKA has had a very memorable 2025 already having Won x 2 & a further

6 x Top 10s.

When he won the TRUIST back in early May he won by 2 strokes but he beat everyone in this field bar Scheffler who was absent, what was great to see was his brilliant start on Day 1 with a 63. I say this as I was tipping him not long ago @ $1000 & $700 and he would absolutley rocket home with 2 days to go and go down by 2 to 3 shots.

He was a notoriously slow starter.

He has got a handle on this in most of 2025 but he was easily on my radar in 2023 & 2024 but his game has elevated to being super slick on SG: APG (Approach the Green) ranked 4th overall and whilstn his ARG play is more than passable his PUTTER has seen his SG ranking improve from 79th to a now 24th.

In SG: Total he is the highest he has ever been in 3rd, this course fits like a glove & it does not hurt he hits 81% of GIR (Greens in Regulation).

Hard not to see him lurking wthin touch in the Top 10 throughout all 4 days with his ACCURATE BALL striking everywhere.

Win @ $48

Top 10 @ $4.40

Top 20 @ $2.46

CAN SURPRISE 🎁:

LOWRY like CLARK have both won a Major unlike 70% of this line up.

LOWRY though has a weakness which is the FLAT STICK, well when I say that it is NOT his strength like his Ball Striking but like any player they can have a golden week on the greens, all are capable as did see when he finished T2 @ TRUIST (in May) along with an Outright 2nd

@ AT & T Pebble Beach.

The TRUIST saw him only pick up +0.29 SG yet he excelled on APG (Approach the Green picking up close to +2 SG for his total SG of +3.26.

The same did NOT apply @ Pebble Beach where he actually pciked up +1.61 shots in PUTTING, it is not his achilles heel as from time to time he will be in Positves Strokes Gained so if we see this Irishman in good form with his IRONS and he is in positive figures around the Green including PUTTING then he can be in the finish.

Lowry will play along last weeks winner in CAMERON YOUNG (Group 12) so hopefully he can follow good lines or vice versa, He does play well when teamed with similar ball strikers & he pulled his own weight in NEW ORLEANS when @ the ZURICH he did contribute with -9 in scoring V his teamate RORY who scored -11.

RORY has 40 x 1sts overall with 29 of those 1sts in PGA events & RORY did have 2 x 1sts leading into Zurich.

The form is franked, Lowry does have 4 x Top 10s this year and he is just one of those players you cannot write off.

Win @ $95

Top 10 @ $6.20 ( should be more like $7.60 to $8)

Top 20 @ $3.05 (SFA in Pool)

READY TO PEAK 🚀:

It ended up being BERGER, CLARK, BRADLEY who to choose from and we have tipped previously all 3 in 2025 events & whilst CLARK is starting to hit form there is no denying the previous good efforts on this course from BERGER.

Bradley was VERY GOOD winning the Travelers but his form has wained a bit since.

Going with a player hitting form and my instinct.

CLARK has been good in 4 of his 5 starts since being CUT @ US Open, with a -6 @ The Travelers, he backed it up with a -8, -11 & -17, it is his past events saw his very Improved game come to light.

At the 3M Open he lost shots OFF the Tee (OTT) each day but he was an astonishing 2nd in SG: APG (Approach the Green) picking up +9.57 strokes. On day 4 he boosted stats with 2 x EAGLES on the 6th & 12th holes.

His overall play @ 3M Open was his best yet with SG (Strokes gained) AR (Around the Green) along with PUTTING. His overall form Off the Tee was not too bad really considering his Driving Accuracy was only @ 54% he did sit in 7th on Longest Drives.

I do not mind if he focuses on Accuracy this week as its game approaching the Greens and whilst on the Green thats on the big improve.

Whilst CLARK can be a slow starter we only have 69 players in the field so as long as he does not get too far back he is a known finisher & 13 of his last 18 rounds have been well below 70, most sitting @ 65 & 66 whch proves to me he realy is starting to play better golf.

Win @ $70

Top 10 @ $5.60 ( again way unders as only $49k in Pool)

Top 20 @ $3 (SFA in Pool)