Omega European Masters 2025

MR CONSISTENT:

This Frenchman has been on my 50 player rotation & I did pick him @ 3M Open back in Late July along with Yep last weeks winner ALEX NOREN.

I made mention at the 3M Open how ROZNER has a very good APG (Approach the Green)play in which he has been in Positive strokes gained in 7 of his last 8 including 6 of those being

PGA events.

***He has made the Cut in 15 straight events (13 x PGA + 2 X DPWT) so he should not beat himself up too greatly leaving birdies out there in post event interviews.

Well he went around @ $250 and he played pretty poorly yet still ended up with +1.62 SG: APG which is his strength, he finally did MC (Missed Cut) The very next event @ Wyndham.

Now importantly this is his 1st event back in DPWT for sometime as another who has strutted his stuff around PGA courses but the last 5 x Rozner has played on the DPWT, he has finished 4th, MC, 3rd, 6th & 4th.

With 3 of those being Top 5 finishes which came at the end of 2024.

ROZNER has had his chances in the stronger PGA whilst still being a strong contender when 22nd @ the Scottish Open, Rozner was 7th going into the final round & when 24th at the Canadian Open he was in 16th going into Sunday.

I had to go back a bit but In 4 visits here in Switzerland, Rozner has not finished worse than 34th, with a best being a 4th coming 3 yrs ago when he closed with rounds of 65, 64 & 66 after a slow start.

At his debut here his Sunday 62 (-8) ensured he finished 13th a 64 and then a closing 66 was enough for 24th on his 3rd visit & last year in his worst effort he closed with a 67 (still a -3).

.

Being a Par 70 course Players will need to be cading 64 & 65s.

Betfair

Win @ $85

Top 10 @ $7.20

Top 20 $3.70

OVER THE ODDSUnlike his fellow SAR countryman in JAYDEN SCHAPER (0 x DP Wins) STONE has put together 3 x Wins on DPWT with his most recent best finish being a T6 @ INDIAN open.

Last week though he impressed despite being only T27 he was right in the thick of it after opening with 68 & 69, On Day 3 he carded a shocking 76 before steadier play saw him close off Day 4 with a 70.

His overall Finish was -5.

But STONE was-

27th in SG: Total with +1.39 shots on Avg each round

12th in SG: OTT with only +1.00 shots each Day

75th in SG: APG with +0.04 shots gained

45th in SG: ARG with +0.29 shots gained on Avg each day

76th in SG: PUT with +0.06 shots on Avg each round.

As you can see above in all SG Metrics STONE was Still POSITIVE & he only found 65% of GIR which was for this event only Mid Tier being 61st, you had to be above 72% Greens In Regulation to figure but if we flip the script and go back to his 11th @ AUSTRIAN OPEN.

STONE had a better 67.5 stroke Avg each Day in the ALPS as where last week he only had a 70.75 which is 3 shots different each day, it all adds up over 4 days.

STONE also sat in Top 25 in all SG: Stats in Austria.

I think he can bounce back, of note one SAR player CASEY JARVIS (one of my Projects like KAZUMA KOBORI) they will BOB up its a matter of having savers on them. Now CASEY is very good on APPROACH Unfortunately terrible OTT etc and putting 4 days together, he has touches of good play here & there, maybe before the end of 2025 in a lesser event?

Betfair

Win @ $130 (seems overs if compared to Schaper)

Top 10 @ $9.60

Top 20 @ $4.70

JUST NEEDS TO REPEAT GIR%:

It was hard not to notice this American last week when a T13 who oddly dd not come through via KF (Korn Ferry) Tour like most American players.

Instead BRYANT spent his time on the feeder organisation of the DPWT In the CHALLENGE tour after qualifying in Nov 2024, so in a short time he has had some success with-

T42 @ MAURITIUS Open (first event)

T41 @ Kenya Open

then back to the Challenge Tour for 3 straight results in T6, T26, 4th before returning to DPWT for-

T23, T33, CUT, T42, CUT, T10 @ Italian Open, 4th @ BMW International Open, CUT, T38, CUT then that T13 last week.

Now his efforts @ Italian Open & BMW were terrific efforts howven what stood out for me last week was his 1st in GIR, his Greens in Regulation were an amazing 80.56% (Crazy right there). His other SG stats were-

13th in SG: Total with +2.14 shots on Avg-His stroke Avg was 70 (Noren who won was 68)

90th in SG: OTT losing -0.26 shotts on Avg ech day

3rd in SG: APG with +2.14 shots gained on Avg each day

16th SG: ARG with +0.90 shots gained

119th SG: PUT losing -0.64 shots on Avg each round.

BRYANT also franked Par 3s (10th overall) & was also good on Par 4 scoring (15th) he was however a victim of Par 5s as you can see his poor showing PUTTING.

I think PUTTING, HE CAN IMPROVE as 4 of his last 6 events he went +0.65, +0.34, +1.70 & +0.56 so he has a 75% better PUTTING game than last week.

The easier greens @ Altitude here this week should help with his smoother APG plays.

Betfair

Win @ $200 ( odds changing with more in pool) there was plenty of $220 around ,shop!

Top 10 @ $13

Top 20 @ $6

THE LUCKY LASTWithout checking I would say with confidence I have tipped JACQUES 4 x in 2025 for a T4 & 2nd.

Both times he resulted he went around @ +$150 so he has paid his way with (4 pay days) just from his T4 @ Barracuda he returned +$13.60 from -$3 (same formula we always use).

I did write this before he Teed off @ PGA BARRACUDA-

" JK has the ability and the tools, He was a sound -11 for T19 @ BMW International Open the week before the Genesis Scottish Open (he played all 4 days in Scotland) if he can build on that here he should be able to score between -15 & -20 which I have seen him do often over on the DPWT.

In the last of his 14 events (any sanction) he has 8 finishes of -11, -7, -14, -5, -18 (1st @ Kenya Open) then -12, -5 & -5 so he can score and has consistently proven this, he just needs to bring that kind of playing into the PGA this week "

Like CLEMENTS he played OUT OF HIS SKIN -Its an event I remember all too well as I chose ERIK VAN ROOYEN who was only beaten by Gerard who fluked his shot that rebounded off a branch back onto the fairway with a few holes left, for the love of god it never works in my favour, it was yet another 2nd.

I would absolutely cheer if we had some flukey luck like balls hitting and rebounding off steel signs on the 18th (lol).

After 72 holes @ Barracuda-

better than 77% most Days in GIR , he did have a high of 84% (Day 2)

2 x Eagles

16 x Birdies

49 x Pars

5 x Bogeys

Highlighting when he is "ON" in his last 20 events anywhere he has 6 x Top 10s including a 1st & 2 x 2nds, 3rd & 4th, his "OFF" period was his 4 x straight events from May 2025 ending in the US Open (a Major in June 2025).

He needed the hit out last week in England and was CUT but a stat that does stand out before he was CUT he was a good 10th in Par scoring (picking up +2.83 shots) that's not easy & he lost shots in other SG Metrics but his usual strong form is ARG & okay on APG, he cleans up with his Putter so on a course this week where the TARGET is to keep it on fairways and pick up shots on Approach.

He is massive overs, we know what he is capable of, you may ven get +$400 as Tee off is still another 24 hours away.

Its an event I remember all too weel as I chose ERIK VAN ROOYEN who was only beaten by Gerard who fluked his shot that rebounded off a branch back onto the fairway, for the love of god it never works i my favour, it was yet another 2nd.

Betfair

Win @ $300 ( thankfully I waited as he opened @ $160) there was only $19k then too.

Top 10 @ $13

Top 20 @ $7

BACKING UPYes I am backing up from picking him last week, his odds were far more attractive though @ $170.

Some of what I wrote last week-

"With 8 x PAYDAYS in his last 12 events with 6 x Top 10s & SCHAPER does sit a respectable 29th across all DPWT players in SG: OTT, also sits in Top 10 for Par 4 scoring & Top 20 for Par 3 Scoring"

Last week he ended up being +1 with 73, 69, 72 & 75, that was his worse effort for sometime, there were glimpses of Okay stats though with-

114th in SG: OTT

83rd in SG: APG

55th in SG: ARG with +0.18 shots gained on Avg each day

26th in SG: PUT with +0.82 shots on Avg each round.

Last week he even failed to Birdie Par 5s, this is a stat that really annoys me with most Players, especially when many are scoring Eagles.

But

Like any person everyone is entitled to an off weekend so I expect Schaper to get moving, he was POSITIVE in all SG Stats @ AUSTRIAN OPEN (T5), KLM Open (3rd) & T10 @ ITALIAN Open, not easy to go +SG in all metrics, the one I like is the AUSTRIAN Open as it could play very much like that course.

Betfair

Win @ $90 ( I got $110 so wait) Why should he be half his price after a poor result ??????

Top 10 @ $7.40

Top 20 @ $3.85

TRENDING UP @ RIGHT TIME:

Last week KEITA returned to form @ British Masters finishing in 4th with a steady -13 after rounds of 67, 73, 68 & 67 & like the majority of those who made it after the 36 hole Cut and 15 of the Top 20 finishers all had a +72 Day.

After watching this young Japanese Player throughout 2025 he finished back to back 2nds @ Singapore & the week later @ Indian Open then after that he was CUT in 5 of his next 9 events.

Sure there were glimpses like @ Austrian Open (11th) & his more later efforts saw him +50th @ BWM international & the Genesis Open he bounced back with a good 4th, he was not entirely happy with his play last week as he had a few chances on the back 9.

What I did find encouraging is Keita finished-

4th in SG: Total with +3.14 shots on Avg each round

51st in SG: OTT with only +0.33 (not his strength but still Positive each Day on Avg)

21st in SG: APG with +1.10 shots gained

20th in SG: ARG with +0.83 shots gained on Avg each day

11th in SG: PUT with a better +1.13 shots on Avg each round.

He could have picked up more shots as a few of his Iron plays onto the Green made it harder for an easy Putt, he did still sit @ 13th overall in GIR (Greens in Regulation) with 72.22% Greens found.

I like to stick with players who have hit some form, Keita was 9th in SG: T2G (Tee to Green) with +2.25 SG on Avg each Day, I liken this to his 11th @ AUSTRIAN Open where he was 12th overall in T2G with +2.09 strokes gained each Day, a combination of both these should see him challenge this week.

Betfair

Win @ $46 (as high as $55 earlier)

Top 10 @ $5.30

Top 20 @ $3

READY:

We go back to back with fellow German team mates in the 2 x Marcels.

SCHNEIDER is about to have another breakout finish IMO like he did in AUSTRIA when he went so short finishing T2nd with what wins most events on this tour @ -17 & it is important to mention who finished tied with him, Kristoff Reitan.

REITAN has been on a real tear in the last few months on DPWT but he can go very LOW unlike 60% of this line up but in Austria Schneider fought hard with days of 63, 66, 66 & 68 that final 68 was telling as REITAN shot a course record 60.

Also telling as 13 of the Top 20 actually finished lower than Marcel and his 68 so I investigated to ensure Day 4 was not him playing his worst day of any event, Luckily it is not.

Last week he finished T19 @ British Masters and he had his chances too but he was one player that struggled with PAR 3s (74th) & although 46th in PAR 5 scoring on all the players I watched most were scoring consistent Birdies at least.

Im expecting a result more similar to Austria as he was also good @ Italian Open and those courses suit his play more.

Last week with Improvement to come-

19th in SG: Total with +1.89 shots on Avg each round

68th in SG: OTT with only +0.04 shots each Day (this was his Achilles heal)

12th in SG: APG with +1.35 shots gained (remarkable considering he was only 62.5% GIR)

100th in SG: ARG with -0.35 shots lost on Avg each day

20th in SG: PUT with +0.84 shots on Avg each round.

All his stats were remarkably better in Austria, Italy & he has finished 4 days in 7 of his last 8 events. I feel he is ready to shine again.

Betfair

Win @ $140

Top 10 @ $8.60

Top 20 @ $4.80

THE OTHER MARCELThe other Marcel we will call him but SIEM was very good last week when he came out on Day 1 to share the front on the leaderboard with a 66 (yep Haotong was there) but the difference SIEM backed it up with a 69 & like ost when the WIND cranked up on Day 3 the scores were the opposite, Day 3, 75 made it tough but a Day 4 bounce back with a 69.

8th in SG: Total with +2.39 shots on Avg each round

26th in SG: OTT with only +0.72 shots each Day (The Top 12 were all well above this)

29th in SG: APG with +0.82 shots gained

83rd SG: ARG with -0.10 shots lost on Avg each day

15th in SG: PUT with +0.95 shots on Avg each round.

So after watching his body language changed dramatically over the last 3 days he can ONLY BUT GO UP IMO, if we look at his last 12 events in 50% he has much improved SG Metrics especially in OTT (Off the Tee) & PUT so I will go on record he can his improve his IRON Play here this weekend.

SIEM has already 6 x Wins on Tour so he can draw on his experience and he was good last week & sits a decent 67th in R2DR (Race to Dubai).

I think he take a lot into this week & he was only +1 at this event last year but he is playing 10 x better of late entering this week.

Betfair

Win @ $150

Top 10 @ $10.50

Top 20 @ $4.90

SHORT VERSION AS COMMENTS TOO LONG- SEE EMAIL FOR ORIGINAL:

COUVRA though normally sits Top 20 in most SG: metrics, the only Strokes Gained stat he struggles with is OTT (Off the Tee) but generally his Par 3, 4 & 5 scoring is always in the Top 25 @ most events, whilst he does struggle OTT he does mostly sit again in the Top 20 in SG: Total on Avg each day over all his last 20 events sits @ +2.78 strokes gained on Avg.

He does not have to rely on much of his skill set, also being 22 he may just shrug it off and we may see him come out gunning (my pref).

Like most young players you do not want them to lose early confidence as unlike Tour veterans they can grind it out the young ones either go for it or go home, not much in between.

Due to last week better odds this week?

Betfair

Win @ $150

Top 10 @ $11.50

Top 20 @ $5.30

SLOW BURNSince he has been concentrating more on the PGA he has been on a very slow burn & he started it with a good 4th @ HOUSTON Open late March.

This young Finnish player backed it up with a T12 @ VALERO Open & T18 in the deep RBC Heritage Open won by Justin Thomas ( the event had most of the Top 50 OWGR) he then faced a CUT @ Zurich before bouncing back again with solid efforts of a T39 @ CJ Cup & T7 @ Mrytle Beach Classic with -12, the winner had -15.

So SAMI is going along nicely and this is his 1st DPWT event was @ DANISH Open where he got moving late with a slow start (72) he usually starts well before carding 69, 67 & 68 for a passable -8 under Par.

Looking at his most recent PGA stats-

44th in SG: Total

104th in SG: T2G ( he does however sit 60% in Driving Accuracy so offsets this a bit)

23rd in SG: APG (this is amongst all PGA players his GIR is @ 68%)

129th in SG: ARG- he has sat in events in the Top 25

10th in SG: PUT- this is impressive as you have high quality Putters on PGA Tour.

If he can clean up his Around the Green play he can pick up valuable shots with his Putter, he has shown multiple times in PGA he can shoot 66 & 67 on Par 72 courses, he just needs to stay in touch.

Betfair

Win @ $56 via Sportsbet ( On Betfair Now $48 but was high as $65 earlier on Betfair, Gone quick)

Top 10 @ $5.90

Top 20 @ $3

MY ROUGHIE:

Every event I try & include a Player from out of left field.

At home last week @ British Masters he was another to have the weeknd off but it seems a trend that players returning from OS generally play better the foolowing week after arriving, I may have found a pattern.

CLEMENTS tried his luck more recently over on the PGA where he really caught my attention when he finished a solo 3rd @ Barracuda Championships.

I like players that generally sit high in Greens in Regulation (GIR) & on all 4 days after carding

+39 (remember it is the special scoring for that sole event).

After 72 holes-

2 x Eagles

20 x Birdies

41 x Pars

8 x Bogeys

1 x Double Bogey

Again referring back to GIR on Day 1 he went 78% (14 of 18 greens) Day 2 @ 84% with (15 of 18 greens) Day 3 @ 72% (13 of 18 greens) & on Day 4 @ 78% (14 of 18 greens).

Why highlight this?

He bettered a very good Irons player in ERIK VAN ROOYEN & also another player I chose in JACQUES KRUYSWIJK (another good SRA Iron player IMO).

Also I have pften seen his scoring Avg like @ Barracuda hovering around 67.5 and that is on 72 Par courses, it would not take much for him to shoot 65 or 66 here on a Par 70.

Notable finishes of T9 (Genesis 2024) into 2025, a few Top 40s before a T16, 9, T20, T14, T24 in Early March to Late May showed his consistent turn around, he then had 3 CUTS before an improved T21 @ ITALIAN Open before missing his next 2 (1 being a MAJOR) then bouncing well for that 3rd @ Barracuda (PGA) + T7 @ NEXO in Scotland (it was a wild Links course) & made mention of it last week with John Parry.

It was a tough scoring effort.

I think he can get back to making it through to all 4 days.

His general skill set strengths are usuall all 4 x SG metrics. Even last week he was

SG: OTT with +0.23 strokes gained

SG: APG with +0.66 strokes gained

SG: ARG with +0.29 strokes gained

SG: PUT with -3.41 strokes Lost

The latter PUTTING stat is not usual.

That was his tell last week when CUT but his previous good efforts elesewhere show this is not a weakness generally speaking.

CLEMENTS already has a 1st on DPWT (CZECH Masters in 2023) he also has 4 other 1sts in other sanctioned bodies, he also was a very accomplished Junior winning the English Amateur Championship in 2017.

Currently sits in 59th in R2DR and with 8 more events he will be keen to cement his free ride into 2026 events.

I was looking @ another Pom in Matthew Jordan who often plays very well, however Jordan is yet to Win on Tour despite good results in 2025, when I started doing stats he was also around $90 yet I was impressed with CLEMENTS when 3rd in a PGA event.

CLEMENTS was 14th in SG: OTT last week despite being CUT. That is significant.

Betfair

Win $190 ( price changing- I backed him @ $220) but much more $$$ into pool to come) wait?

Top 10 @ $10.50

Top 20 @ $5