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The Open Championship 2025

Course

Royal Portrush Golf Club

Location

Portrush, United Kingdom

Date

17 July 2025 9:00 am AEST

2025-07-17

Europe/London

Event Analysis

It is a BIG event this week so a BIG write up is appropriate.

The Course

The Open Championship is being played outside Great Britain for only the 3rd time in the event’s 153-year history.

On each occasion – in 1951, 2019 & now 2025 – the venue beyond conventional shores has been Royal Portrush Golf Club – Dunluce Course in County Antrim, Northern Ireland.

This course is awesome to look at but difficult to Play.

The conventional Open Championship rota courses – St. Andrews, Carnoustie, Muirfield, Royal Troon, Royal Lytham, St. Annes, Royal Birkdale, Royal Liverpool, Royal St. Georges – all sit along the coast but usually well inside the shoreline.

With the exception of the opening holes at Troon, they do not engage open water as theatrically as Royal Portrush does.

In large measure, that is due to the routing, which incorporates high points for tees, fairways and greens to maximize awareness of the sea and exposure to wind.

For decades, Portrush was celebrated for its intense links character while being slightly frowned upon for the undistinguished character of its last two holes.

“The best 16-hole course in the world” as it was called, finally got the treatment it deserved in the run-up to the 2019 Open Championship. That is when the club turned to distinguished English course designer Martin Ebert for a major overhaul that included 2 holes, the new 7th & 8th holes on land that was part of the Valley course.

Along the way, the Valley course got partially rerouted, and the land of the former 17th & 18th on Dunluce became part of a 6-hole junior course, as well as readily convertible into staging ground for Open Championship tented facilities.

Besides the 2 new holes, 3 other greens were redesigned and reconstructed by Martin Ebert , Ebert’s work in the run up to 2025 has been more limited, with a half dozen back tees added or expanded, 2 greens tweaked to be marginally more receptive, and the practice ground for The Open given more character.

The basic playing character & challenge of Portrush comes from its links setting – a dunes-filled site prone to windy conditions.

The par-71 , stretched to 7,381 yards, features modestly sized greens (averaging 5,700 square feet) & adequate but not overly generous fairways (24 acres). Its 57 bunkers tend to be small, pot-like in structure, set in low-lying basins. The ball runs towards them and tends to get “vacuumed” up, as if the bunkers functioned as a vortex or black hole. The effective gravitational pull of these pits is much greater than the actual area of their sandy bottom.

We did not get to see the High winds last week in Scotland, However, at Portrush all but a few are aligned on a SW to

NE axis, With the prevailing wind westerly to northwesterly, most of the holes thus play with a crosswind, either incoming from the left or sweeping across over the right shoulder.

Only 2 holes, the par-4 , #1 & 8, play downwind & only the long par-5, 7th plays into the prevailing breeze, Everything else entails a matter of tacking and anticipating the effects of wind coming at an angle.

The Wind will play HAVOC this weekend unlike last week.

Lets dive in & look at each Hole-

Hole 1-Par 4-

Hughie’s is 420 yds & with 2 bunkers players need to avoid off the Tee with the priority to get the Ball in the fairway & position the 2nd shot onto the 2 tier elevated green with a false front.

Hole 2-Par 5-

Giants Grave is 575 yds which has a new Tee that has added some steel to the Par 5 with players needing to avoid 3 bunkers up the right, Long drivers are capable of an Eagle or at least birdie as it is important to find the fairway for the next shot to Lay up in front of the cross bunkers just short of the green.

Hole 3-Par 3-

Islay is a short hole with only 176 yds & is one the highest points on this course with a view of most of the links course and right out to the Scottish Island of Islay. The green falls away on all sides & players w need a very accurate shot onto the Green, if they miss it is a VERY difficult up & down off the green.

Hole 4-Par 4-

Freds Daly is 502 yds & is know as one of the best holes on the course despite the out of bounds runs down all the way down the right of the hole so Tee shots need to be threaded between the left fairway bunkers & out of bounds. The Green is surrounded by sand hills & players will find it hard to find the target as the Flag is often partially hidden from sight.

Hole 5-Par 4-

White Rocks is 372 yds enjoys a stunning backdrop as its Green teeters on the edge of the cliffs, with 2 new bunkers added players can be aggressive to take on the green and often noted as a birdie hole.

Hole 6-Par 3-

Harrys Colt is the 2nd of the Par 3s at 193 yds with no bunkers around the green (check course out as it is well worth the time) it does have natural undulations on either side but players usually are happy with Par on this hole before they start on the “TOUGH” stretch of this course.

Hole 7-Par 5-

Curran Point is the longest hole @ 607 yds & is the 1st of the NEW holes as it cuts through the dunes. Players will have a downhill Tee shot with the biggest of bunkers on the right, the 2nd shot is then uphill through a narrower corridor to a well contoured green, The Wind will determine if players can get onto this Green in 2 shots, Accuracy is key with the better Iron players on Tour to shine here.

Hole 8-Par 4-

Dunluce is 434 yds is the 2nd of the NEW holes as this has been cut from the Land which has never been played before. A slight dogleg left to a Raving tempting the best players to bit off more than they can chew with a very steep bank. Players need to stay right to avoid 3 bunkers and leave the shortest path and simplest to the green, Any approach shot either left or shot may miss the elevated green, players do not want to be too below the elevated green.

Hole 9-Par 4-

Tavern is of 432 yds & is traditionally known as the “Hardest” with the hole gently shaping from right to left where a new bunker on the right will create a dilemma for players wanting to keep the driver in the bag with 2 cross bunkers frame the approach making the green appear closer than it is, The Putting surface is defended by shaped links bank to the right, leaving a very tough up & down for any miss. Walking away with Par on this hole is all important.

Hole 10-Par 4-

Himalayas is 450 yds & upon viewing this hole it is aptly named as a strong Tee shot is required to find the sharp dog leg 10th Fairway, there are NO bunkers on this hole but the aptly named Himalayas shows us the dramatic contours, New contours have been added to a very long & narrow green.

Hole 11-Par 4-

PG Stevensons the 475 yds was described by one of our Past tipped players from last week, Padraig Harrington as “the 11th Tee shot is one of the most difficult in golf” From the Tee players face a very narrow shot through the mounds either side of the fairway (accuracy not distance is key here) with an accurate drive to the corner of the hole is required to bring the Green into view for the next approach shot. 

The Green sits perched amongst the sand dunes above the level of the fairway with a false front that will PUNISH any shot landing  short. Again, you just have to view this hole, it is crazy difficult, there are numerous drone flyovers of this course available online, Well worth viewing.

Hole 12-Par 5-

Dhu Varren is 532 yds with a New Tee position has been created to play Par 5 Championship golf, A massive fairway slopes from Left right so players need to avoid bunkers on the right side, the green will be in range for the majority of players, however it is another elevated green with a false front, Any miss to the right with the approach shot could lead balls down to the waterway lurking in the gully to the right of the green. It is open to Birdie though & I would expect 50% of players to pick up a shot on this hole.

Hole 13-Par 3-

Feather Bed is only 199 yds but players will see a dramatic elevation change from Tee to Green (T2G) The green unusually runs from front to back & is surrounded by 5 bunkers. The front left has been altered however players should be able to spin the ball back from the back of the green to position nicely for at least a Par.

Hole 14-Par 4-

Causeway is 466 yds & has had 60 yds added, the narrow driving will need to avoid the new bunkers to the left side with the fairway sloping from right to left but the challenge will be the 2nd shot that leads into an elevated hogs-back green with a SEVERE slope to the front & back with a difficult bunker to the left.

Hole 15-Par 4-

Skerries is another hole well taking a look at on line it is 429 yds with the Tee shot uphill to an expansive fairway that slopes against the route of the hole. With a new fairway bunker to the right, players who cannot get distance here will at their own expense not be able to view the green for the next approach shot.

The big hitters will be advantaged as their 2nd shot to the green which is small compared to all the other greens here which is surrounded by bunkers to the left (Aerial view of this hole is gnarly) with a severe slope to the front and right. Players should still be able to post a birdie on what is considered the most photogenic hole on this course. 

Hole 16-Par 3-

Calamity Corner is 236 yds with NO bunkers but the name says it all, The Tee shot is played slightly uphill over an expansive ravine of rough, it deserves a longer Analysis as it is most likely to play a BIG part of the outcome of this weekend.

One of the most dramatic Par 3s in the entire Open rota, this hole runs along the edge of doom and makes every golfer’s heart race as they stand over their tee shot. It’s one of only 2 holes @ Portrush with NO bunkers (the other being the par-4 10th) and plays slightly uphill, only 10 feet but enough to highlight the entire right side of a deep grassed crevasse, 50 feet below the green surface.

Hang the ball out there or come up short of the platform green and there is virtually no chance of avoiding bogey or worse.

The safer approach line is on the left, it provides a narrow path for feeding the ball onto the green, anything hit just left of the alleyway ends up in a bumpy, hollowed out short grass area that forces elite golfers to do what they hate to do, Think about the many options for recovery, with anything from a lob wedge, short-iron chip or putt as sensible choices.

Calamity Corner is one of those memorable theaters for the most interesting play in championship golf, Players with a long iron or fairway metal in hand, trying to deal with interesting terrain and finicky wind.

At the time of typing up this Analysis it is equivalent to 5:02am @ Portrush with heavy rain with the wind already @ 9 mph, Precipitation is 89% so could this weekend be already well defined with Rain, Wind & more rain & wind?

If this is true then Par scoring is ideal.

Hole 17-Par 4-

Purgatory is 409 yds & I had to giggle as I was researching this hole as a new back Tee has been added, A good long drive is required to find the back slope of the fairway to find the green. With a severe downslope (Purgatory) players going from a Tee to Green shot may think again with a new bunker to the left added.

Even players who are thinking a conservative drive off the top will still find the severe slope downhill into a very narrow green with bunkers left & right.

Aggressive players will be rewarded.

Hole 18-Par 4-

Babingtons is the final closing hole at 474 yds it has also had an added  new Tee with players hoping to position the ball a long way down the fairway but to stay towards the left as it will give a good sight line to the 18th green for their 2nd shot.

The green does sit slightly sideways with a drop off to the left that will collect any balls missing on that side, the strong winds really blow hard across this hole so we need a player in front and not hoping to make up a shot or 2 late on this hole.

So, this event should prove to be more like the roller coaster ride than last week @ Genesis proved. It will have many twists and turns so please ensure you cover all players for the suggested Top 10 & 20 as it makes a difference.

I say this as it is impossible to back an Outright Win in Golf each week, No one can but we prove you can make Profit by back players in those other markets.

Why we are not backing Scottie Scheffler a favorite regardless of event, grass, or worldwide location, the 2025 PGA Championship winner will attempt to add his 4th major championship to his trophy case.

Knocking off the competitive rust with T8 @ the Genesis Scottish Open, his streak of top-10 paydays reached 10 straight events, including 3 in the previous x Major championships. The FedEx Cup points leader also sits atop multiple SG categories, including-

SG: Total
SG: Off-the-Tee
SG: Approach to Green
SG: Tee-to-Green

Making his 5th consecutive start at The Open, it is the only major championship where he has not reached the podium but he has earned a T7 paycheck from 2024 and a T8 from 2021, his 1st attempt.

I will say it time and again Scheffler provides NO value IMO @ $7 on Beffair or $6 on BET 365. This event is after all over 4 days.

We look for Value & I think by following up on a few of our past tipped Players last week we can get into some money here.

7 x Players & most importantly our recommendation is backing all Players with $1 each in 3 markets so that means a total of $3 for each player = to your usual staking.

So as an example, you would normally have $10 per Player as for your $1 on every market then $30 is invested in total in 3 markets for a return, Outright Win, Top 10 & Top 20.

For the total outlay of 1 event = 7 players x $30 = $210 to cover all 7 of your players in All 3 markets for 4 days of crazy Fun and Profit.

Last week we had pays of $15.80 (with only Nicolai) in the Top 10 with a few on the cusp that choked late but over in Kentucky we fared better with a few more in the Results with $69 so if you are a $10 player then your return for the weekend as still profitable with $848 in the bag less your $450.

88.44% ROI

The goal this week is to get more in the finish, we had Live options last week but alas a few like Harris English failed to convert on day 4.

STAKING: At PGT, we apply a strict and consistent staking strategy to every tip we publish. All published results on our site are calculated on the basis of one (1) unit per tip, unless otherwise stated. The actual dollar value of a unit (if any) is determined by each individual — it may be for a no-value bet with a friend, or $5 or $50. This methodology is for record-keeping and educational purposes only and is not a recommendation to bet or to bet in any particular way.
Competitor Tip Type Odds Units Result Rationale
Cameron Smith Win 170-1 1.00 LOSS

ALL SERIOUSNESS COULD NOT TOUCH: <p>In all seriousness I could not touch the Aussie a few months ago, he was turning up at short odds with absolutely no form behind him only his name.</p> <p>He has been the improver in recent events over @ LIV with his game looking more like its former self of 2024, most recently he was T7 in Spain and had it not been for a double Bogey on 17th hole he would have finished T4, it was very windy @ Andalucia & the best player there was not the winner Talor Gh ( he fell in) Jon Rahm of Spain was surging late with his -6 on the final day to fail by 1 shot to force a Playoff scenario.</p> <p>I was fortunate to tune into LIV Live so I saw all Players backing up here & I think Cam Smith is flying under the radar, he is on the improve and does sit #1 PUTTING over at the break out league & he will need to pick up his season GIR of 63% but there are some big targets on this course so it can only aid his cause.</p> <p>Finally Smith although not coming into this event as strong as he did when he won the 2022 edition @ another course (St Andrews, Scotland) he powered home from well back with a -8 on the final Day to steak victory with an overall -20, he has a point to prove & long as he does not get lost in his brain which we saw in QLD not long ago he can enjoy playing smart golf, we will know by Middle of Day 1 which Cam Smith has turned up.</p> <p>$1 on Betfair Win @ $170</p> <p>$1 on Betfair Top 10 @ $11</p> <p>$1 on Betfair Top 20 @ $4.60 *note this market has only 20k in it and we are still 48 hrs away so wait till pools grow.</p>

Top 10 11-1 1.00 LOSS
Top 20 4.6-1 1.00 LOSS
Joaquin Niemann Win 75-1 1.00 LOSS

MANY WILL TRY TELL CHILEAN: <p>Many will try and tell you this Chilean player is yet to shine in Majors, Results wise perhaps but he has been setting the LIV stage on fire with as many as 4 x 1sts in 2025 along with a further 7 from 7 x Top 30 finishes, He did also finish a T8 @ PGA Championships in May 2025 so I think he is one player worth watching here due to his perfect Approach shots. Over @ LIV he sits in 3rd in GIR (Greens in Regulation) hitting 394/540 greens for a strong 73% a further look at his GIR over on the DPWT he sits an incredible 83% GIR.</p> <p>If he can set up nicely Off the Tee which he sits in a respectable 60% of FAIRWAYS hit on LIV events (249/420 Fairways Hit) so avoiding the rough at all costs and some terrific Iron play can see him make a run.</p> <p>He is good enough.</p> <p>$1 on Betfair Win @ $75</p> <p>$1 on Betfair Top 10 @ $6.40</p> <p>$1 on Betfair Top 20 @ $3.80</p>

Top 10 6.4-1 1.00 LOSS
Top 20 3.8-1 1.00 LOSS
Lucas Glover Win 550-1 1.00 LOSS

GLOVER HAVE WHILE THEN WOULD: <p>Oh Mr Glover, if you have been with me for a while then you would understand this player has promised and sure he delivered pay days but NOT for the outright win yet.</p> <p>I tipped him in theJohn Deere Classic for a respectable T5 and honestly HE SHOULD HAVE BLOODY WON, he ended up with a-16 which was only 2 shots off the Playoff picture, his final Day of 64 was massive (-7) but he like Gary Woodland and a few others that stir my emotions are notoriously slow starters he carded a 72 on Day 1 which is a stark contrast to his 64 not only on Day 4 but he shot a 64 on Day 2, talk about giving someone the you no whats.</p> <p>His game has looked good apart from the odd bad day, he was T9 @ Travelers and his greatest asset is his SG T2G (tee to Green) where he is ranked 16th amongst all PGA Tour players, this is HUGE and he is also ranked a HIGH 21st in SG: Approach to Green, now his weakest stat is his Putter, he is ranked a dismal 143rd, now to be blunt he can Putt okay not that his stats tell us this but his power off the Tee should assist greatly as he sits firmly In top 10 on all (DRIVING stats). if it is a matter of location around here than his usual proximity to hole play can be advantageous this week</p> <p>Yes he is my roughie, we need a better start than normal though than what we know he can do, all I ask is consistent days from all our golfers, it starts there.</p> <p>He is no slouch, he has 6 x PGA wins to his resume and has 5 x Top 10s in 2025 so he is no flukers chance, if he can stay in touch early he can show up, in other words we do not want him trying to make up 4 or 5 shots after Day 1, if that is the case throw your ticket away in this line up.</p> <p>$1 on Betfair Win @ $550</p> <p>$1 on Betfair Top 10 @ $20</p> <p>$1 on Betfair Top 20 @ $7.60 *note this market has only 20k in it and we are still 48 hrs away so wait till pools grow.</p>

Top 10 20-1 1.00 LOSS
Top 20 7.6-1 1.00 LOSS
Matt Fitzpatrick Win 50-1 1.00 LOSS

FRESH STRONG LAST WEEK GENESIS: <p>Fresh from his strong T4 last week @ The Genesis Open with a menacing -12. Fitzpatrick started safely carding a 69 before improving well with a 63 on Day 2, when Players were moving on the traditional moving day (day 3) Fitzpatrick faltered a little with a 69 (-1) and he finished off with a 67 (-3). What we can take out of this event is he sat in T4 IN SG: Total with 12.36 shots gained where he was good with his driver sitting in T19th for Driving Accuracy thus will come into play more so this week as will his accuracy in Approaching the Greens, he was a solid 68% in Greens in regulation (my pref is 70%) but he made up for that Around the Greens sitting in 6th in SG: Putting, this will be well rewarded at this event, setting up shots and converting birdies. He actually was ranked in 1st with 2 Eagles & where scoring Par essentially around here he was T18 with 48 Pars (not bad this week hitting Par).</p> <p>Fitzpatrick is hitting his stride, since the Truist where he was T23, he was good at a Major in 8th @ PGA then followed that up with sound efforts T31 @ Memorial into a T38 @ US Open & was very good final 2 days at the Travelers which has been a recent good form pointer and his last 2 events a 8 @ Rocket and last weeks 4th.</p> <p>$1 on Betfair Win @ $50</p> <p>$1 on Betfair Top 10 @ $5.60</p> <p>$1 on Betfair Top 20 @ $3</p>

Top 10 5.6-1 1.00 WIN
Top 20 3-1 1.00 WIN
Maverick McNealy Win 170-1 1.00 LOSS

I tipped McNealy way back when he was a closing T3 @ VALERO when Brian Haan somehow held on with a final 75 (+3) to be fair no player should win any event if they are posting anything over Par on courses that are generally won @ -10, the only courses with legitimate excuses is these LINKS courses in driving rain and wind.
Either way Mc Nealy has this habit of making appearances when least expected so whether he does not respond with pressure but since VALERO he had a T3 @ RBC Heritage & a solid T5 @ Memorial and his recent play suggest he is taking time with his craft (PUTTING) in saying that his general play in most skill sets has him pretty rock solid.

Last week he stepped it up with 4 x Birdies in the 1st 6 holes before a double bogey on hole 18 levelled him a bit, he went onto the 1st hole & birdied it (started on the 10th) before he was really measured for the next 8 holes with PAR on each, on replays he could have pushed a bit but he showed more maturity than what I have seen previously from him.
So a strong start in Scotland with a 67 (-3) before he struggled on Day 2 & 3 (71 & 71) before getting back to business and going after it with 5 x birdies & 1 bogey but his book ends at the event was a
67 & 66 and what was remarkable was he sat in 6th in Driving Distance & 27th for Driving Accuracy, this can compliment his already rich Approach game and good with the Putter (18th last week).

I think at the odds he is overs, I have him around $90 to $100 he reinforces my belief as he was also T22 in SG: Total picking up 5.36 strokes, keep a close eye on SG stats for days 1 & 2 because if the heavy rain does eventuate it may well be very tough to make up shots early as Day 2 and onwards, slow beginners will find it even tougher.

$1 on Betfair Win @ $170

$1 on Betfair Top 10 @ $11

$1 on Betfair Top 20 @ $4.50 *note this market has only 20k in it and we are still 48 hrs away so wait till pools grow.

Top 10 11-1 1.00 LOSS
Top 20 4.5-1 1.00 LOSS
Nicolai Hojgaard Win 170-1 1.00 LOSS

Short and simple we were on NICOLAI last week and if it had not been for the lack of concentration on Day 2 ( he was going well until 3 bogeys ruined it) but still he managed a 69 but nothing is worse when a player makes a birdie to give it right back with a Bogey, do not even ask me about double bogeys.

His final Day of a -6 gave us hope but giving 2 to 3 shots is tough in this day and age of golf and his 7 x Birdies with 1 x Bogey was the 2nd best of the Day (Justin Rose bettered it by 1) but
if you read the summaries which I deem the most important part of any selection then you know we have high hopes for this young Dane.

He only needs to replicate the good stats from last week into here being T4 in SG: Total with a whopping 12.36 shots along with being 5th in SG: Off the Tee and a very high 11 in PUTTING, he just needs to replicate it all here, It did not hurt that he also hit 74% GIR, we advised he would be more comfortable back on courses he played his junior golf on & back playing in Europe, call me crazy but he is as good as Ludvig Aberg, we have yet to see him convert it to PGA events, time will be the acid test but we are spoiled with young players including star on the rise Keita Nakajima and company.

Top 10 & 20 the bankers.

$1 on Betfair Win @ $170

$1 on Betfair Top 10 @ $8.60

$1 on Betfair Top 20 @ $5.50 *note this market has only 20k in it and we are still 48 hrs away so wait till pools grow.

Top 10 8.6-1 1.00 LOSS
Top 20 5.5-1 1.00 WIN
Tom Kim Win 220-1 1.00 LOSS

I was so close to including Kim last week and to be brutally honest I thought my culling process was flawed when he came out on Day 1 with an improved 66 (-4),I read probably 11 or 12 articles on KIM and his attitude now and what he thought was missing.
He was pretty calm & collected in an Interview I watched that went for 15 minutes and he convinced me his Swing was fine and that he was happy with it, His body language proved what he was saying seemed true so after diving into the many golf stats I have you could see 2 of 4 days were panning out well enough but he just was not recording what perhaps we EXPECT too much from him as after all he did have some incredible events a fair bit back now, rather than going too far back there were glimpses of the old Tom Kim (I say this tongue in cheek as he is only 23) with 3 x PGA wins along with a further 7 x International Wins.

Max Homa was very similar in a slump recently and I watched many interviews with him, he was declaring his game was getting back to normality, it did at the John Deere with a big improvement to
finish T5, sometimes me included we forget golfers are mere mortals so the human Psyche is a wonder and it's our job to figure out when they will surprise, TOM KIM is improving, is it is improving fast enough? I think at these nice odds of $220 and he is drifting on Betfair as opened around $170 so I track all my golfers from when they opened (starts at 50 players then down to low 20s then down to these).

If he can improve on last weeks massive trend up where he was a Good T17 in SG:Total with 6.36 shots and he was a remarkable 5th in SG: Approach to Green, this stat will serve him well in North Ireland anp with most Off the Tee but his Driving Accuracy on point last week (T10) and surprisingly he was 61st in PUTTING, I say surprisingly as really made a point of saying he thought this was a part of his game that he could see improvement, if u go and look up to day 2 stats he was Top25

Confidence can do wonders and often even I forget he is only 23 yrs old, My hope is he starts well and turns up to play, consistency is the key for 4 full days please.

$1 on Betfair Win @ $220

$1 on Betfair Top 10 @ $13

$1 on Betfair Top 20 @ $6.40 *note this market has only 20k in it and we are still 48 hrs away so wait till pools grow.

Top 10 13-1 1.00 LOSS
Top 20 6.4-1 1.00 LOSS
#Tips Wins Strike Rate Units Net Profit ROI
21 3 14.29% 21.00 -6.90 -32.86%