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TOUR Championship 2025

Course

East Lake Golf Club

Location

Atlanta, GA

Date

21 August 2025 2:00 pm AEST

2025-08-21

America/New_York

Event Analysis

IMPORTANT: This week we are taking the win market odds WITHOUT Scheffler.

East Lake Golf Club has been the permanent home of the TOUR Championship since 2005.

The tournament was first played at East Lake in 1998 and has been held at East Lake 24 times since then.

The TOUR Championship is the culminating event of the PGA TOUR Playoffs for the FedEx Cup, with only the Top 30 players on the points list qualifying each year.

The 2024 TOUR Championship and FedEx Cup Champion is Scottie Scheffler.

The Course-
Par 70
7346 Yards

Fairway: Meyer Zoysiagrass
Rough: Common 419 Bermudagrass
Green: Bermudagrass

The Course History has +20 Bogeys per hole on holes 1, 4, 7, 8, 9 (Hole 8 has 25 + Hole 9 has 28) then onto the back 9 with only Hole 14 & 17 exceeding +20 (25 & 20).  (My own research). So that back 9 is far easier scoring!

The course has had changes in 2023 & 2024 so now with short grass and steep banks around the greens can send shots propelling away from the putting surface and require precise pitches instead of the uniform recoveries that were required before.

Players can putt, pitch or chip from chipping areas of closely-mown Zoysia instead of always grabbing their sand wedge to chop out of Bermuda rough.

Some of the better PUTTERS should be able to make up ground here, I have included a few in the selections.

🔥 A bit different with the selection process compared to this week’s DPWT event as we have 5 x Players but in only 2 x Markets so the investment will be $10 overall.

5 x Players for PGA-

In 2 Markets only.

Total spend $10

= 5 x Players x 2 Markets = $10 (based on every $1 dollar) x your stake or Multiplier.

Example = $10 Punter will be investing $20 on each Player ($100 in total = 5 x Players in 2 x Markets).

🎯 Yes I will advise it again- the WIN Market is odds WITHOUT Scheffler!

STAKING: At PGT, we apply a strict and consistent staking strategy to every tip we publish. All published results on our site are calculated on the basis of one (1) unit per tip, unless otherwise stated. The actual dollar value of a unit (if any) is determined by each individual — it may be for a no-value bet with a friend, or $5 or $50. This methodology is for record-keeping and educational purposes only and is not a recommendation to bet or to bet in any particular way.
Competitor Tip Type Odds Units Result Rationale
Cameron Young Win 21-1 1.00 LOSS

It was a flawless effort when he finally broke through for his maiden PGA Win, he had so many runner up podiums (7 from 96 events) along with a further 14 x Top 5 + 24 x Top 10s.

As they say it was only amatter of time and off the top of my head I would have selected him at lest 6 times in 2025.

A well known PUTTER that is his weaponof choice & he sits in 7th in SG: PUTT but he is actually Top 20 in Driving Distance amongst all PGA players.

No need to go too far back but last week he was determined with a -5 after carding a woeful 74 on Day the middle days were excellent with a 66 & 65 before taking his foot of the gas to finish with a 70 on Day 4.

Young was still in all POSITIVE SG stats bar 1-

SG: OTT in 6th with +2.106 strokes gained

SG: APG in T34 with -1.46

SG: ARG in 7th with +2.70 strokes gained

SG: PUT in 12th with +3.368 strokes gained

SG: Total = +6.708 strokes gained

Along with a handy 68.06% GIR (Greens in Regulation) with 48 of 72 found = T10.

I will not this as he was really good with 5 of 6 SAND SAVES, both he & SAM BURNS were good out of BUNKERS.

As is usual if he is close enough into Day 3 he can really pick up shots on the field around the Greens.

This is only the 2nd time to EAST LAKE for Young, he did only turn Pro in 2022 so thats a reasonable excuse, Finished 20th in OWGR.

***Note WO Scheffler- Betfair Win @ $21- his normal price is @ $36.

Top 10 only @ $2.60

**For Transparency we will only result the WO Scheffler Price, me personally I will double my usual staking in that I will have $100 on the WO market & $100 on full price and play both prices. It was a flawless effort when he finally broke through for his maiden PGA Win, he had so many runner up podiums (7 from 96 events) along with a further 14 x Top 5 + 24 x Top 10s.

As they say it was only amatter of time and off the top of my head I would have selected him at lest 6 times in 2025.

A well known PUTTER that is his weaponof choice & he sits in 7th in SG: PUTT but he is actually Top 20 in Driving Distance amongst all PGA players.

No need to go too far back but last week he was determined with a -5 after carding a woeful 74 on Day the middle days were excellent with a 66 & 65 before taking his foot of the gas to finish with a 70 on Day 4.

Young was still in all POSITIVE SG stats bar 1-

SG: OTT in 6th with +2.106 strokes gained

SG: APG in T34 with -1.46

SG: ARG in 7th with +2.70 strokes gained

SG: PUT in 12th with +3.368 strokes gained

SG: Total = +6.708 strokes gained

Along with a handy 68.06% GIR (Greens in Regulation) with 48 of 72 found = T10.

I will not this as he was really good with 5 of 6 SAND SAVES, both he & SAM BURNS were good out of BUNKERS.

As is usual if he is close enough into Day 3 he can really pick up shots on the field around the Greens.

This is only the 2nd time to EAST LAKE for Young, he did only turn Pro in 2022 so thats a reasonable excuse, Finished 20th in OWGR.

***Note WO Scheffler- Betfair Win @ $21- his normal price is @ $36.

Top 10 only @ $2.60

**For Transparency we will only result the WO Scheffler Price, me personally I will double my usual staking in that I will have $100 on the WO market & $100 on full price and play both prices.

Top 10 2.6-1 1.00 WIN
Harris English Win 34-1 1.00 LOSS

BET 365 PRICE:

I want to stick with ENGLISH as did have 2 x 2nds in MAJORS (PGA Champs & The Open) & was aten BOTH TIMES by yep Scott Scheffler so it seems fitting to include him NOW and not jumpm off in the WITHOUT Scheffler WIN Market.

But PUNS aside I still think his T4 @ Travelers to BRADLEY was one of his best efforts in 2025, he started with 67, 68, then stamped his consistent self with a 67 before improving on Day 4 with a 65 (-13).

Without giving too much away he sits in My Top 15 with scoring Averages.

Last week I probably did expect more but his final day 72 (+2) skewed his stats big time as 4 x BOGEYS will do that on 1 day of play.

He was however-

SG: OTT in 21st with +0.202 strokes gained

SG: APG in 36th with -1.474

SG: ARG in 27th with -0.183

SG: PUT in 4th with +6.153 strokes gained

SG: Total = +4.708 strokes gained (T12).

ENGLISH can improve OTT (Off the Tee) he showed over the pond when 2nd in a MAJOR and on the LINKS course that many struggled he got better as on Day 4 he went -5 (66) but his stats with the DRIVER told us he could sit in the Top 10.

He finished with a -13.

I have to stick with him compared to a player like ABERG, could bite me in the bum here but we have to make those calls.

in 15 of his last 20 events he has had POSITIVE SG: Totals.

***Note WO Scheffler- Be 365 Win @ $34- his normal price is @ $75.

Top 10 Only @ $3.30

**For Transparency we will only result the WO Scheffler Price, me personally I will double my usual staking in that I will have $100 on the WO market & $100 on full price and play both prices.

Top 10 3.3-1 1.00 LOSS
Justin Rose Win 34-1 1.00 LOSS

I must declare I was scratching me head with both ROSE & SPAUN last week.

Normally I would not back up on WINNERS from the previous week BUT BOTH playesd so well so perhaps they bounce back better here?

HISTORY does tell us that on 12 x a 2 time winner of the past 3 PLAYOFF games occurs.

ROSE was very good with his M6 5 Wood (Taylor Made) when winning the Fed Ex ST JUDE where he was picking up +2.35 Strokes OTT per round, some of the shots he played were so accurate up the Fairways.

Both he & SPAUN.

Yet last week he struggled & was the opposite OTT losing -3.996 strokes, he can only BUT IMPROVE as he is a player that normally would not lose shots, he is moderate compared to the BIG hitters.

Sometimes players are TOO BAD TO BE TRUE from 1 week to the other, ROSE does deserve to Finish Top 10 in the remaining 30 Players, he is ranked 4th in FedEx points so makes sense.

***Note WO Scheffler- Betfair Win @ $34- his normal price is @ $85.

Top 10 Only @ $3.40

**For Transparency we will only result the WO Scheffler Price, me personally I will double my usual staking in that I will have $100 on the WO market & $100 on full price and play both prices. I must declare I was scratching me head with both ROSE & SPAUN last week.

Normally I would not back up on WINNERS from the previous week BUT BOTH playesd so well so perhaps they bounce back better here?

HISTORY does tell us that on 12 x a 2 time winner of the past 3 PLAYOFF games occurs.

ROSE was very good with his M6 5 Wood (Taylor Made) when winning the Fed Ex ST JUDE where he was picking up +2.35 Strokes OTT per round, some of the shots he played were so accurate up the Fairways.

Both he & SPAUN.

Yet last week he struggled & was the opposite OTT losing -3.996 strokes, he can only BUT IMPROVE as he is a player that normally would not lose shots, he is moderate compared to the BIG hitters.

Sometimes players are TOO BAD TO BE TRUE from 1 week to the other, ROSE does deserve to Finish Top 10 in the remaining 30 Players, he is ranked 4th in FedEx points so makes sense.

***Note WO Scheffler- Betfair Win @ $34- his normal price is @ $85.

Top 10 Only @ $3.40

**For Transparency we will only result the WO Scheffler Price, me personally I will double my usual staking in that I will have $100 on the WO market & $100 on full price and play both prices.

Top 10 3.4-1 1.00 LOSS
Maverick McNealy Win 23-1 1.00 LOSS

I must say it was a delight to watchim last week, IMO he can be hot & cold but we have tipped him previously when he finished 2nd to Brian Harman.

As it often seems MCNEALY comes good on Day 4.

Last week @ BMW he was SUPERB with the Flat stick, he was 1st overall in SG: PUT with +9.197 strokes gained.

A repeat anywhere near that sees him in the finish.

I have included a similar stat for LOWRY below, I will explain in his Analysis.

He also was the best on Day 4 with a -4 (66) ( Schauffele equalled) but his -11 probably would have won him elsewhere as SCHEFFLER even impressed me, from the 15th onwards WOW but I did tip Macintyre to falter on Day 4 to members, could not have written the script any better.

Unfortunately ABERG could not do anything withn his -10, I had leave him out because of his +3 (73).

Back to MCNEALY, he also had a clean sheet on Day 4 wh 0 BOGEYS and the 4 Birdies, that deserves a mention.

He Has been good in 2025 with 7 x Top 10s (incl 2nd to HARMAN), without SCHEFFLER in the WIN market he could really cause dmage with his PUTTER.

As you will read I A STICKING to the better know Putters on Tour.

***Note WO Scheffler- Betfair Win @ $23- his normal price is @ $55.

Top 10 Only @ $3 (trying to be conservative as we are spending $2 here so $3 back is profit @ worse ca scenario) hence why In am leaving alone Top 5 markets.

**For Transparency we will only result the WO Scheffler Price, me personally I will double my usual staking in that I will have $100 on the WO market & $100 on full price and play both prices. I must say it was a delight to watchim last week, IMO he can be hot & cold but we have tipped him previously when he finished 2nd to Brian Harman.

As it often seems MCNEALY comes good on Day 4.

Last week @ BMW he was SUPERB with the Flat stick, he was 1st overall in SG: PUT with +9.197 strokes gained.

A repeat anywhere near that sees him in the finish.

I have included a similar stat for LOWRY below, I will explain in his Analysis.

He also was the best on Day 4 with a -4 (66) ( Schauffele equalled) but his -11 probably would have won him elsewhere as SCHEFFLER even impressed me, from the 15th onwards WOW but I did tip Macintyre to falter on Day 4 to members, could not have written the script any better.

Unfortunately ABERG could not do anything withn his -10, I had leave him out because of his +3 (73).

Back to MCNEALY, he also had a clean sheet on Day 4 wh 0 BOGEYS and the 4 Birdies, that deserves a mention.

He Has been good in 2025 with 7 x Top 10s (incl 2nd to HARMAN), without SCHEFFLER in the WIN market he could really cause dmage with his PUTTER.

As you will read I A STICKING to the better know Putters on Tour.

***Note WO Scheffler- Betfair Win @ $23- his normal price is @ $55.

Top 10 Only @ $3 (trying to be conservative as we are spending $2 here so $3 back is profit @ worse ca scenario) hence why In am leaving alone Top 5 markets.

**For Transparency we will only result the WO Scheffler Price, me personally I will double my usual staking in that I will have $100 on the WO market & $100 on full price and play both prices.

Top 10 3-1 1.00 LOSS
Shane Lowry Win 42-1 1.00 LOSS

The LUCKY LAST?

LOWRY is like English in that he has been a player I have been following of late and with LOWRY I am waiting for the BREAKOUT?

Noted as one of the more usually consistent players from T2G (Tee to Green) sits in 11th overall amongst all PGA Tour players & hat consists of a usual okay play OTT (nothing flash as sits in 71st OTT in SG) he does sit though in 65% Driving Accuracy but he does however rely on his good Iron play.

His SG: APG is high in 4th so nothing wrong with his Approach game as he can generally find up to 70% of GIR (Green in Regulation) this is where he struggles from here, his ARG play is ranked @ 69th so around the greens he loses shots, theombine this with so so PUTTING of late he is ranked 133rd in SG: PUTTING.

Or did he have a moment last week????

I mentioned above in the MCNEALY Analysis as I always watch the Golf and LOWRY was travelling very sweetly with his PUTTER & on Day 3 was 1st in SG: PUT with +3.708 SG, yet he actually picked up near 4 strokes PUTTING.

LOWRY does need to get back to the form that saw him 2nd @ AA & T when -19 & he also finished 2nd @ TRUIST with -14, he just needs to switch on for the final event of this season.

Despite being 38 yrs old with over 204 events played he still can throw TANTRUMS (like Macintyre) he needs a steady day 1 so his confidence is not rocked.

There are 29 Players here as we are not playing with SCHEFFLER in the field, 25 are Capable of winning this.

***Note WO Scheffler- Betfair Win @ $42- his normal price is @ $85.

Top 10 Only @ $3.60

**For Transparency we will only result the WO Scheffler Price, me personally I will double my usual staking in that I will have $100 on the WO market & $100 on full price and play both prices. The LUCKY LAST?

LOWRY is like English in that he has been a player I have been following of late and with LOWRY I am waiting for the BREAKOUT?

Noted as one of the more usually consistent players from T2G (Tee to Green) sits in 11th overall amongst all PGA Tour players & hat consists of a usual okay play OTT (nothing flash as sits in 71st OTT in SG) he does sit though in 65% Driving Accuracy but he does however rely on his good Iron play.

His SG: APG is high in 4th so nothing wrong with his Approach game as he can generally find up to 70% of GIR (Green in Regulation) this is where he struggles from here, his ARG play is ranked @ 69th so around the greens he loses shots, theombine this with so so PUTTING of late he is ranked 133rd in SG: PUTTING.

Or did he have a moment last week????

I mentioned above in the MCNEALY Analysis as I always watch the Golf and LOWRY was travelling very sweetly with his PUTTER & on Day 3 was 1st in SG: PUT with +3.708 SG, yet he actually picked up near 4 strokes PUTTING.

LOWRY does need to get back to the form that saw him 2nd @ AA & T when -19 & he also finished 2nd @ TRUIST with -14, he just needs to switch on for the final event of this season.

Despite being 38 yrs old with over 204 events played he still can throw TANTRUMS (like Macintyre) he needs a steady day 1 so his confidence is not rocked.

There are 29 Players here as we are not playing with SCHEFFLER in the field, 25 are Capable of winning this.

***Note WO Scheffler- Betfair Win @ $42- his normal price is @ $85.

Top 10 Only @ $3.60

**For Transparency we will only result the WO Scheffler Price, me personally I will double my usual staking in that I will have $100 on the WO market & $100 on full price and play both prices.

Top 10 3.6-1 1.00 LOSS
#Tips Wins Strike Rate Units Net Profit ROI
10 1 10.00% 10.00 -7.40 -74.00%