Oakmont Country Club
Oakmont, PA
2025-06-12
America/New_York
| Competitor | Tip Type | Odds | Units | Result | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Harman | Win | 360-1 | 1.00 | LOSS | IN THE MIX 👠JUST CANNOT LEAVE HIM OUT: The LEFTY Christian. Oddly enough it is usually 4 or 5 events before this event and of course next weeks event as he did Win with us on @ THE OPEN in 2023 that he generally fires up. He comes into this off the back of a good result in the Travelers (8th) but prior he resulted a 3rd @ RBC Heritage won in good style by JUSTIN ROSE and 2 weeks to that event HARMAN did hold on to win @ The VALSPARS. He thrives this time of year and the BIGGER COURSES suits this usually BIG DRIVER off the Tee, he sits in 6th overall for longest drive which will suit the rolling fairways, he will need to tidy up his driving accuracy (sits currently in the Top 50 @ 47th with 63% of Fairways hit). When the courses get bigger he plays better, he proved on what was a very miserable weather day back in 2023 the conditions will not bother him either. There are better players here so he is my least valued player but he has just been so good of late he cannot be left out. $1 Win will see a possible return of $100 via Betfair. |
| Max Greyserman | Top 20 | 6.4-1 | 1.00 | LOSS | SNEAKY CHANCE ðŸÂ€: Max will Tee off late, whether the early morning roll out is an advantage we will find out after day 1 but he is in Group 42. Oddly enough he is still flying realtively under the radar as he only pushed into my Team of 50 players a few weeks ago but of his group he is the Highest player ranked 48th in OWGR. HOW IS THIS so you ask from a NON winner on PGA Tour? Well he is MR CONSISTENCY, of the 17 events he has played in 2025 he sits a high 7 x Top 25s, included in that 1 x Top 10 @ The Ameian Express, he has made 15 CUTS (88%) & to be fair he even had 1 x Withdrawal @ Pebble Beach so that skews his stats a bit. Since then no INJURIES known and he has been a player that can consitently card mid 60s. He will need be on his game here as he takes on the BEST but he can rely on his His ball striking which was in good form @ The Charles Shwab. ranked 9th for the event in driving distance & fifth in SG: Approach. He is another like BHATIA who has strong PUTTING credentials (currently 23rd on Tour) $1 on betfair for a possible return of $6.40 for every $1. |
| Sam Burns | Win | 80-1 | 1.00 | LOSS | 🥇 PUTTER IN THE FIELD: Honestly I was surprised BURNS was this short, I thought closer to $150 but his narrow defeat in CANADA has him peaking I guess for this. Still he rose to the PLAYOFF against the SILVER FOX and although we got FOX up as a late mail recently @ $17 (day 4) he did surprise me with his win in CANADA. however BURNS did have his shot. BURNS has no podium finishes but of NOTE his highest was at this event in 2024 where he finished a T9 and when you start exploring his stats he has made the last 4 cuts in MAJORS, he also has 6 really good results since his T46 @ The Masters. His recent form very strong with a 2nd last week, T12, T19, T30, T5 & T13 and in 4 of those veent the Top 50 in the WORLD were present (OWGR). We know how good he is around the Greens , that is his strength but despite being somewhat ordinary on his approach to Greens (149th) his only negative stat really, which he sits comfortably in 5th in BIRDIE conversions. THIS is his advantage to pick up SG (strokes gained on the field) the so so putters will PAR & in a perfect world a few birdies on Day 1 would be a GR8 result. He will TEE off with 2 also very good green players, they could be high up on the leaderboard early. I want to see BURNS with an advantage early & not chasng on Day 2. $1 on Betfair will return you $80. |
| J.T. Poston | Top 20 | 6-1 | 1.00 | LOSS | VALUE 🤑: My M8 JT, he has let us down a few times and of course bobbed when not on. I nearly talked myself into backing him to win this @ $470 (Betfair) but the little safe angel kept reminding me of his implosion @ PGA Championships in Mid May. JT was sitting well up the leaderboard with a 68, 70 , 68 then his day 4 score of 73 just irked me to be blunt, he was in contention and It takes me a bit to forgive a player who saves his worst play for day 4. I like to follow up on players who are one of the leading under pars on the final day, ABERG is a fine example, no form until he hit a -6 @ The Memorial on a day when not many even when under Par. He of course backed it up TRENDING well in Canada with a -13. Anyway JT can mix it here. will not go into stats but another I am leaning on around the greens, he has contested so many MAJORS but to date his best was that T5 @ PGA Champs. I think the $6 (Betfair) on offer is ridculous, he is a 3 x Winner +30% SR in his whole career to Top 25, every $1 for possible return of $6 is jump on the gravy train here. |
| Harris English | Top 20 | 5-1 | 1.00 | LOSS | ON 🔥: As much as $120 then into $110 was on offer for English since markets opened on Tuesday in Australia. English will be spending the next 2 weeks in the UK without regular caddie, Eric Larson who was not permitted a Visa, Larson 30 yrs ago pleaded guilty to sending cocaine to friends in the Midwest. He spent 10 years and 3 months in prison and was released from a halfway house in June 2006. Talk about colorful, normally I would worry but ENGLISH will rely on the locals to provide a caddie which should be more beneficial with more LINKS course experience. The past 10 winners of this event have all had above 73% GIR which my usual target is 70% so is a good fit with my criteria. English was tipped @ The Travelers- Figures are Strokes Gained- SG: Off The Tee 0.57 Scoring $1 Win will see a possible return of $90 via Betfair |
| Min Woo Lee | extra | 4.5-1 | 1.00 | LOSS | THE 💪 PLAY: US Open 2025 On one of those rare ccassions we got MWL right when he saluted for us @ $44 to win the That day saw him stay firm despite a few hiccups late with solid days of 66, 64, 63 & 67 and on Thursday he will tee off in Group 33 from the 1st hole, along beside him will be Justin Thomas & Brooks Koepka which should urge him on. A known big hitter of the ball (8th on Tour for Driving Distance) he will need to improve his Driving accuracy which has let him down in the last 5 events as he has dropped to 54.74% accuracy (335 fairways hit from 612) this should be closer to 65%. MWL does sit a decent 47th in SG:Total & his strengths around the Green (13th) & PUTTING will be the diffence from PAR or BOGEYS (sits in 39th in Strokes Gained-Putting) I do not see MWL finishing Top 10 but we only need him to beat the other Aussie players and of course we need him to settle inside the Top 60 come Day 3. Our only play is $1 on over @ Sportsbet @ $4.50 for a possible return of $4.50. |
| Sepp Straka | Top 10 | 5.1-1 | 1.00 | LOSS | RED 🔥 FORM: We were on SEPP @ The Memorial and to be honest he actually went - 8 in his last 2 days of play. As we know he finished 3rd but he can be a very very slow starter, when we discovered the then nobody we tipped him @ $700 & even $1000, he DID NOT win but paid us for 2nd and 8th. Now in 2025 he really has come into his own with 2 x 1sts in 2025 along with 5 x Top 10s & a whopping BIG 11 x Top 25s from only 16 played in 2025. Look rather than telling you how good he now is, my concern although slight is that he can be a very slow starter, not ideal in Majors and around here. He does however have some very good weapons such as 2nd in SG Total (only 1 better is SCHEFFLER), 4TH IN SGTee to Green, and a high 3rd ARG + 17th in Putting. Even when we started tipping him in PGA years ago, he was slow to start but would be that player that would -7 on Day 4. His skills all came to fruition. He is paying well but a closer inspection tells us just in PGA he is a good 15% SR to Top 10 but abetter 10% to Top 5 from his PGA starts overall. We just need him to start with the pack. $1 on betfair returns $5.10, if he makes the Top 60 he will be the player finishing hard. |
| Patrick Reed | Win | 220-1 | 1.00 | LOSS | HIS BEST CAN WIN 🚀: As many of you know I tipped him @ THE MASTERS where he finished 3rd. NOW to be blunt how he did not win , well we know he bombed a PUTT on 13th to end up BOGEY then EAGLED the 17TH. UNBELIVEABLE really & he difference was 2 shots. Anyway I tipped him again @ PGA Champs and he WAS CUT so that was a wake up call for both him & me, he has though got back to form on LIV having recently finished T17 @ Mexico, I did read an interview with him, he had the break in between KOREA and VIRGINIA which was 3 weeks, felt he needed it, It is a long playing season. NOW his challenge will be to stay well within the FAIRWAYS, he only hits 57% in LIV but he should be able to use his irons to offset and negative as he is hitting a HIGH 69% GIR (Greens in Regulation). His best attribute and he is known for is around the Green & his trusty (most times) PUTTER, the big fast greens should suit him very well, of note he was 4th in SG:Total @ The Masters. He just needs to start well, buid confidence, he has played in 43 majors to date (he has WON). Again this is me personally but I back all WINS as Top 10 & 20, they DO NOT get resulted only what is sent by SMS etc, $1 on Betfair is a possible return of $220. He is from PAST tipped, we know they have a habit of winning a short time later. |
| Akshay Bhatia | Top 20 | 4.8-1 | 1.00 | LOSS | HIGH PROBABILITY 👌: This 23 yr old has been HOT & COLD of late with From January 2025 to March 2025 in the 8 events he did hit double figures in 4 of thse with a His last 2, like most struggled at The Memorial but @ The Charles Schwab he started with gusto with 67, 66, 89 but on Day 4 he kicked it off with a Birdie on 1 before imploding with BOGEYS on 6, 7, 9 then to top it off a Double BOGEY on 11th and to show he was still rattled another BOGEY on 13. It was good to see him rest from Canada and refocus for a Major, he has only contested 7 MAJORS since 2021 nd has made the Cut in 4, his best finish being a T16 US open in 2024. He comes into this in better form having played 15 in 2025 for 3 x Top 10s, 6 x Top 25s & he has made the CUT in 11 of 15 (73% SR). I love his SG stats, 30th in SG Total, 21st SG Approach the Green (ATG) & a very good 12th in Putting, combine this with 62% Driving Accuracy + 67% GIR (greens in Regulation). GIR is one of my fav stats, it also helps he can sink them. When he is on he is on, I like the freshen up but we will know by hole 9 his game is on or not, in 11 of his 15 events in 2025 he has started below 70 on day 1 ( His Avg = 67.2) *** A very quick beginner, my hope is that he does, if you compare him with a Gary Woodland who is usually slow. Matched on Betfair @ $5.30, on Sportsbet he is currently $4.33 but I doubt that changes because they are terrible with most sport odds. $1 in play for a possible return of $5.30. |
| Collin Morikawa | Win | 34-1 | 1.00 | LOSS | STAT 👑: US Open 2025 Often criticsed for the lack of concentration on Day 4 I have read several articles where he is working closely with Mental coach, DR RICK SESSINGHAUS , they have been working together since his 2 MAJOR Wins. He is not the only player to blow big leads half way thro day 4 either, we have been on a few who did the same (IMPLODING) is apolite way to call it. Anyway this is the CRUX of Pro Golf, THE MAJORS, if we look at graphs we clearly see since mid 2022 he has been on a very minor incline with his results, right to present day so he has been consistently good. I AM calling it- I reckon he is about to hit the same strong form in May to July 2024, his data tells us this. His strong record in Majors speaks volumes as he has now played in-22 to date for 2 x 1sts, So 14 paying results from 22 MAJORS (63.6%). Colin is in Group 32, it is some BiG GUNS with VICTOR HOVLAND with #1 SCHEFFLER, they will all be pacing each other it is a Group to watch,the pressure starts early. We all know the run SCHEFFLER is having but HOVLAND still keeps complaining about his swing, so if COLIN can match it early with the event FAV we are in good stead. So COLIN sits 2nd in DRIVING ACCURACY with a high 72.8%, Im hoping he can get the edge on SCHEFFLER early. $ on Betfair will return you $34, shop around but Bookmakers have him |
| #Tips | Wins | Strike Rate | Units | Net Profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0 | 0.00% | 10.00 | -10.00 | -100.00% |
